Friday, May 3, 2013

Gameweek 36 Season 2012/2013


***

Join the Back Of The Net Boy league - 359767-141904

Join us at


Download our ‘Back Of The Net Boy’ podcast through iTunes

please comment, share and retweet whatever you can, thanks

***

7 points better than the average, 20 points better than the gameweek number
come on season let’s get this over… it’s all about the awards evening for us BOTNBers

REVIEW OF NEW CORK COSMOS IN GAMEWEEK 35

My hard and fast rule is that 5 points is a good return for a player, therefore 55 point return is a good gameweek? No, like love it is a more textured, layered and nuanced thing than simply saying if X is this, then 11X equals, but enough about my ex and the other ten girls I went out with (BOOOOOOM BOOOOOOM Comedy gold)… I’m trying my bestest to care enough to pull New Cork Cosmos into 42nd position… My more personal battle is with DarraghFPL in our Michu v Toure battle (back story – difference in points haul from GM 34 to 38 will be balanced with pints, I’m on Team Touré who currently has a haul of 11 points, to Team Michu’s 5, as things stand all the pints I am buying David Neville has been offset by the Ivorian Machine.

WHAT’S THE POINTS?

Points scored last week                      - 55 Points
Average points scored in that week    - 48 points
Points off the top                               - 367 points, 14 points closer to the top.
Points off 42nd position                      - 68 points
Position in BOTNB League                - 61st

WHAT WENT RIGHT

Bale and Bentenke got a haul of 29 between them!

WHAT WENT NOT RIGHT

But that was nearly half my points scored by the entire team, and my captains choice (Tevez) was a bad one, if only there was some fine upstanding fantasy football blogger to guide me away from such stooopid mistakes.

LAST WEEK’S TEAM



TRANSFERS

So I chopped out Fellani and Ben Arfa and brought in Lennon and Toure. Simple reasons really, Fellani seems to be playing in a deeper midfield position again; Ben Arfa is in a terribly misfiring Newcastle team; Lennon is a double gameweek and chasing the champions league spot and Touré is also DGMing. It was a choice between him and Nasri really but decided to stay in sync with that afore mentioned Touré v Michu bet.

KEEPING AN EYE ON

Noone specifically, I can’t even remember what I did this time last year, am I supposed to be planning a short term decision next week.

THIS WEEK’S SELECTION

Seem pretty easy really, only one option for the gloves Jaaskalineighyuinghin at home to Newcastle is way more favourable than Boruc at Spurs, for similar reason I’ve dropped my other Saints players, Rodriguez and Shaw to the bench, and the 15th man  in over sized jackets is Turner, who is injured anyway.




MY CAPTAIN, MY CAPTAIN

Right now, it’s Bale

CAPTAIN’S CORNER with @darraghFPL

I’d almost say last week was a success. My top four selections all pulled through with scoring returns, while Aguero vindicated his inclusion over the much touted Carlos Tevez. I’m not getting too comfortable with this recent triumph however; as yet another double gameweek is crammed into fantasy football for the final time this season. As regular readers of this blog will know, I have a slight aversion to doubles as they tend to be unpredictable. Statistics are too often rendered useless and rotation becomes more pertinent than usual. This week is perhaps slightly different however. For one, it’s the end of the season and gives me a slight opportunity to reel in the 25 point lead over me in the BOTNB league. Secondly, I feel like I’ve got a good read on the rotation issues this week, and dontchaknow, I’ll share this new found wisdom with ya’ll.

With six teams playing twice, people will inevitably gravitate towards players from these sides. However, only Tottenham, Wigan and Chelsea have something to play for. The latter travel to Old Trafford in their first game and entertain Spurs for their second, hardly ideal fixtures. Wigan have by far the kindest fixtures of the three. Playing two sides that have absolutely nothing to play for in West Brom and Swansea, I’m leaning heavily toward their price friendly attacking options. Finally, Spurs first game at home to Southampton should be enough to persuade people to shell out for Bale, Defoe or my personal gameweek favourite, Jan Vertonghen.

It’s obvious that Bale is the best option for captaincy for this (and almost every) set of fixture but rather than ramble on about him averaging 1,624 shots a game I’ll highlight the upside of his potentially differentiating teammates. Vertonghen has been a fantasy revelation this season. For one, his average of a goal scoring chance every 89.3 minutes is the second most of any defender in the league this season…..yes, even better than fantasy wunderkind Leighton Baines (92.3 mins) and the asstacular Ivanovic (127.5 minutes). Only Glen Johnson has more attempts per minute with a pop at goal every 59.7 minutes but he has only converted 1 of these chances, or in percentage terms, that’s a paltry 1.8%.

The three afore mentioned defenders top the defender goal scoring chart with 5 goals each proving when it comes to defensive goals, its quality not quantity. Furthermore, Vertonghen has the third highest amount of final third through ball for a defender in the league with 7, one behind team mate Kyle Walker and 3 behind Jose Enrique who enjoyed a stint at left wing earlier in the season. A home game to Southampton offers a serious possibility of a clean sheet as the Saints have scored once in their past three. But let’s face it, unless you’re looking to make up a humdinger of a chasm, play it safe and captain Ronaldo v2.0. Versus his old club, fourth place on the line, something has to happen, right? (Gareth Bale to get sent off is available @ 25/1 at paddypower.com)

Elsewhere, Man City will surely garner serious attention this gameweek. Tevez is already the third most transferred in player this since Sunday but the blue side of Manchester may be slightly more preoccupied with their cup final on Saturday week. Furthermore, when Aguero and Tevez both start, the latter’s average position is a full two pitch quadrants further back than Aguero, who almost always leads the line. Last weeks game against West Ham is a perfect microcosm of the two Argentineans role in the side.

Tevez played just over a 1/10 of the pitch deeper than Aguero, touching the ball on average ever 1.2 minutes compared to Aguero’s 2.1. Tevez had 9 more successful final third passes and received 13 more passes in the final third himself. However, Aguero managed 7 more penalty area touched, 2 more goal attempts inside the box and the all important goal. What this underlies is Tevez is far more vital to the link up from midfield to the frontline but inevitably plays second fiddle to Aguero in terms of attempts and subsequently, goals.

But what about FA Cup related rotation you say? This is an issue. Mancini has come out and said he won’t rotate until second place is assured. Do I believe him? Nah, he’s burned me far too many times. One of the two will be rotated on the Tuesday against the Baggies and my inclination is toward Tevez. Aguero is coming off an injury and match fitness/sharpness is essential for an instinctive finisher such as he is. Secondly, Tevez has started the last 7 league games and is more susceptible to fatigue, though his natural fitness is clearly one of his most outstanding attribute. Still can’t decide eh? Well Aguero offers the most upside. Even with Dzeko in the side, Tevez sits deeper than the Bosnian. If Mancini doesn’t rotate, I’ll eat these words. It won’t be the first time this blog has been ingested anyway.

For my penultimate nod, I’m going for me second gut instinct in successive weeks. At the start of the season, I heavily tipped two players to tear up the FPL. One proved correct (Michu), the other not so much. The one who let me down was Martin Petric. I raved about his prowess in the Bundy league last season and his introduction to the Premier League showed promise with 3 goals and an assist in his first 130 minutes of football at the Cottage. Then Dimi Berbatov happened and poor ol’ Martin slipped down the pecking order, delving deeper and deeper, beyond the likes of Hugo Roddallega, yes the same Hugo Roddallega who averages a goal every 483 minutes of football. Petric meanwhile scores every 173 minutes, but that’s against regular competent teams. Not a team like Reading, whose top priced defender is a Lidl-esq £3.9 million and haven’t kept an away clean sheet all season long. So its time for Martin Petric to come full circle and prove that with a now crocked Berbatov, he can fulfill my prophecies of fantasy greatness. Well, for the next three weeks anyway.

Finally, 110,000 of you have brought in Romalu Lukaku this week. His upside is massive. But buyers beware. He has only played 94 minutes against sides in the top 4 this season, indicating a perceived lack of trust by Steve Clark. He is also on loan, and with the Baggies having nothing to play for, it surely offers the manager a greater scope to experiment with the players he will definitely have at his disposal next term. Having said that, the Belgians 14 goals so far cannot be ignored and his 130.3 minutes of football per goal is only bested by that Dutchman (120.6 mins  per goal). With Lukaku garnering the most interest this week, those looking for a differential may look toward the Wesley Snipes in Demolition Man-like Arouna Kone. I can’t differentiate between these two but since I’m looking to catch and not consolidate, I’ll side with the blonde one. It’s disturbing when your fantasy football decisions mirror your love life……

                     


***

Join the Back Of The Net Boy league - 359767-141904

Join us at


Download our ‘Back Of The Net Boy’ podcast through iTunes

please comment, share and retweet whatever you can, thanks

***