Friday, April 29, 2011

Fantasy Football Preview Week 35


State Of Play


Ballsack. This was my chance to jump up a few spots and it all went wrong. Now further off the top than I have been for last 2 months, 10 points off top 10 position even.

Vindication


Nothing that anyone would be surprised by, Lampard and Dempsey both did well.

D’oh


Captaining Davies got me one fecking point, ONE!!! I trebled up on wolves players and their combined haul was 10 points.

Questions / Hunch / Drama / Dramatic Narrative before Sky Have Spotted it


Will Torres score for fun for rest of season? Are we watching Drogba do his lap of honour at Stamford Bridge?

Will Liverpool get 4th spot? It’d be Roy Of The Rovers stuff, but can they do it? Everyone is tipping Kuyt for fantasy teams at the moment and who wouldn’t after his great haul over last few gameweeks.

Transfers/Selection


Brought in Kuyt, said adios to Cesc.

Theory/Selection


Assuming Liverpool will continue their form, and that Kuyt will get something somehow so made him captain from the off, have selected Carroll even though he is an orange arrow. The Wolves decision I made has backfired cos they now make up 75% of my bench, but if they had paid off in the last gameweek I’d be standing gloating. I think Davies might knock a goal in for me  to and further push Blackburn into the mire. I’m hoping Chelsea will demolish Spurs and keep a clean sheet.


My Team this week



Keeping An Eye On


Liverpool/Spurs/Man City for the race for 4th, will they have players doing stellar things?

Captain's Corner with Phergal (Now with added capitals)

Wide open again this weekend with no obvious choices, so a good chance for people to close the lead on their league rivals. Lot of big matches this weekend, Chelsea @home to Spurs and Arsenal @home to Man U. For chelsea, i'd be wary of Drog or Torres, Ancelotti hinted yesterday that the two might start together, thereby diluting their attacking potential. Also not the easiest opposition either. Lampard looks a much better bet in that one.

For the Man U at Arsenal game, really hard to predict again, I suppose it's a must win for Arsenal, but you have to feel they are finished now and they must be feeling a bit deflated after all their squandered chances to catch up the last few weeks. RVP at home is always attractive, so he could be an okay choice. Rooney's back and should be hungry. He's scored in 3 of the last 4 games against Arsenal, so is a good shout.

So that's the biggies, i think there are much better captain choices to be had though. Liverpool@ home to Newcastle looks great. The Pool are in wicked form and are looking to finish the season on a high with King Kenny at the helm. Kuyt has been particularly impressive, with 7 goals and 2 assists in the last 6 games. He's a great differential, at just 7.3% ownership.

Man City seem a popular choice this week, but without Tevez, is there any really solid pick for captain that's not a gamble? Not in my opinion, maybe Silva or Balotelli then.

I've a sneaky feeling about Odemwingie too, on great form and @home to Villa. Brom also have the best final four fixtures in the league, so you should be getting him in, if not this week, then next week i think.

Friday, April 22, 2011

Fantasy Football Preview Week 34


State Of Play

Okay, I’m in top ten. I used up my wildcard, played the double game week roulette and it seems to have somewhat paid off. I did 25 points better than the curve, but it’s no fair assessment anymore, a better reflection of my ‘nous’ was I did better than the 6 people directly ahead of me in the league; but then the top three in the Back Of The Net Boy league all got 100+ points, which goes to show why they are the winners. It’s safe to say, unless I pull of an 88 point miracle, that The Back Of The Net Boy league trophy, the Ballon d’Ronan, will be leaving my hands after a two year reign.

Vindication 

Okay well I hoped Lampard would step up to the plate for me in gameweek 33, which somewhat paid off, with him getting 22 points cos of the double points he got for being my captain…

D’oh

… Unfortunately for me his teammates Drogba and Malouda both brought in 22 point hauls BEFORE doubling up as captains. AARRGGGHH. Gameweek 33’s dream team and mine had whopping two similarities, which is not good enough to be winning this league. This is Senior Hurling level now; Junior B bullshit isn’t good enough

Questions / Hunch / Drama / Dramatic Narrative before Sky Have Spotted it


Man Utd’s bogie team blah blah blah, Everton slow start to season blah blah, on form since January Everton would be second in league blah blah, Man Utd one eye on Shalke match blah blah.

Will Bolton who are already hurt after last weekend’s demolishing via the Potters, lie down and lick their wounds against the gunners? Oooooooorrrrrrrrr will Owen Coyle and his men regroup around a faltering Arsenal? I’m dropping Van Persie, and keeping Fabregas so watch out for a Dutch hat trick knowing my luck.

Nothing of note really sticks out this week.

Transfers

It’s really big ideas here at The Hateau, 3 transfers in so 8 points being spent in the name of bringing in players who have double game playing this gameweek and favorable fixtures in the next one too (so I’m going with Dempsey @ Fulham (wolves/Bolton/sunderland) & Davies @ Bolton (arsenal/fulham/Blackburn), but they don’t reinvent the wheel, so also bringing Ireland’s new hope Jon Walters, once again 3 matches in next 2 Gameweeks (I’m gonna bank on him shining against Villa and being rested against Wolves, otherwise his success will offset others losses).

Theory/Selection

Okay I'm putting my chips down on Mick McCarthy on Wolves pulling it out of the fire, 3 players from the club in my first 11 (i brought them all in when using my wildcard last week - clever see).

Having listened to fantasy footballs scoutcast, I seem to have made every decision opposed to them.
I sometimes wonder what style to write this blog in, realistically we’ve 14 or 15 readers all with the same level of knowledge and experience/interest as me, so is it redundant for me to say things like it’s not worth making Walters captain because if he did score against wolves it’d cost me notional points etc, but I am making Davies Captain specifically because his successes will have no negative impact on any of my team.

Dropping Walker because I want Stoke to do well, dropping Johnson cos I assume Liverpool will beat them and I hope Carroll does the scoring, even though the big Geordies is my first choice substitute, 

My Team this week


 

Keeping An Eye On


Carroll’s fitness, he plays against his old club next gameweek. And arsenal if they really do go off the radar this week, I’ll ship the Catalonian prince Fabregas out too.

Captains Corner with Phergal (please note I don’t even try and fix up the text anymore, he’s a grown man if he doesn’t want to capitalise club’s names I’m not going to do it for him)


so i changed captains at the last minute from RVP to Drog after a few beers and it payed off big time, 44 points from him alone, total score 109 to catapult me into top position in the BOTNB league.

enough gloating. what looks good this week for your captains armband? well it's wide open this. lot of doubles, but nothing as attractive as last weeks chelsea fixtures.

Bolton - Arsenal @Home, fulham away. Elmander hasn't had a double digit score since november and just a single goal this year. sturridge is the golden boy atm, fresh from a brace at west ham's expenses last week, and 6 goals from 8 matches. tempting. if the fixtures were a bit better he'd be a dead cert for me.

fulham - Wolves away and @home to Bolton. very nice fixtures. dempsey and zamora are your picks. zamora got a brace against blackpool on his return and looks lively. i would be leaning towards him here.

stoke - villa away, @home to wolves. huth might get you a clean sheet against wolves and a chance of a goal so not a bad pick. etherington is an okay pick.

wolves - @home to fulham, away to stoke. meh, jarvis maybe?

as for the other fixtures, a resurgent chelsea @home to west ham looks great for the likes of drogba, malouda and lampard. i'd go with drog again here, he's in wicked form.

Friday, April 15, 2011

Fantasy Football Preview Week 33

Hey there sportsfan! We're at the business end of the season now, 5 more gameweeks, five more blogs, then that "summer" thing everyone is talking about

State Of Play

Whoo Hoo, 15 points better than average (even though as I’ve said before, the average is getting skewed by the people who’ve lost interest and have left teams dormant). On the Back Of The Net Boy league, I am now 85 points of top, where I’ve been bobbing around for last few weeks; and 20 off the top ten.

Vindication

My keeper and back three all got 6 points or more…

D’oh

… but everyone ahead of me, let the team down. If I’d captained Nani or Van Persie, I’d be in top ten not. In fact Bent has left down so much, he has now left the Len Rovers squad, till next season at earliest. (that’s all covered in later section)

Questions / Hunch / Drama / Dramatic Narrative before Sky Have Spotted it

It’s all about if Chelsea pull their socks up, and Arsenal pull themselves together for “5 cup finals”, as the annoying cliché goes. The tasty Norf London derby awaits us too, that could be scentalating, neither team can defend right and both teams are chasing points, and Arsenal get the extra bonus of effectively ruining Spurs chance of stepping back into the Champions League if they manage to stay on course for premiership. If spurs don’t get in, the squad will quickly distentigrate with the big names moving to “bigger clubs”, and that’d be a very satisfactory 90 minutes at the office for any myopic gooner.

And can Torres break his duck against a team now managed by the man who was his Boss just a few months ago? Can torres hurt Hodgson from both sides in one year?

Transfers/Selection

WILD CARD – WILD CARD – WILD CARD!!!!

Not even looking at my current team, I started from the top. 3 players from all the double game week players .

Chelsea: Cech/Luiz/Lampard… I am hoping there isn’t a champion league exit hangover, and rather a late roy of the rovers title charge, built on Lampard penalties and midfield blasters and Chelsea clean sheets, (both have happened a lot over the years)

Arsenal: I went marquee baby, Van Persie and Fabregas, can’t rely or trust any of the rest of the squad,. I always have a soft spot for Song but change my mind when I see him, not in a racist way it’s a hairest thing.

Then the Birmingham conondrum, they are actually having a terrible season, but still… it’s like when yer in the tail end of a relationship but you really want it to work out. So I went with Johnson (no major groundbreaking decision, then following fantasy premier league tips, I went with Gardner, due to his penalty taking. And Phillips up front, mainly because it’s surely my last season I can sign him, and I’ve always liked him, especially on championship manager. And he’s buddies in real life with Niall Quinn, how can you not like him! (I know he won’t play full games twice, but 1 goal and a few mins in both will be almost worth it), actually I’ll have him on the bench. DO you know what, he’s a pointless buy, so I’m gonan go with a cheap ass striker, as he’ll be sub 2 or 3 anyway. Ebanks-Blake come on down, double gameweek next week (none this week), so I’ll be prepared for that, he is first choice striker in absence of Doyle. (bringing Jarvis & Hennessy for Wolves in for same reason, good to be ready for then)

That’s it then! Probably make 3 transfers next week, I wonder is my wildcard use means my standard transfer credit passes over? Let’s find out!!!

The one problem with wildcard use, is I can keep tweaking it all night, but I do have my son so I’ll hope I’m a focused father!

so here is the list of all my transfers today, the Kitman here at Len Rovers will be up all night stitching the names onto new jerseys.

Theory/Selection


It’s pretty much all explained via the previous section, I’ll pile on my 8 double game week players, and then the only real decision was Walker or Bardsley, both are playing away, so when with the latter just cos I reckon Sunderland need & want to buck up and therefore tighten up the defence, and also while West Ham are scoring as of late, Birmingham still aren’t, so Bardsley has slightly better chance of a clean sheet (even though I do want Gardner to score!)

Will make Lampard captain, due to him and his penalty taking, I bet you ancelotti will feck me over now and ‘rest’ him for one of the games.

My Team this week

Keeping An Eye On


Stoke V Bolton FA Cup semi final, realistically the loser will go on to have quite a hangover.

Captains Corner with Phergal


doubles ahoy again this weekend, so your captains should be coming from these fixtures.

chelsea have west brom @home, and birmingham away. very tasty indeed. the three stand outs for captain are drogba, lampard and luiz. drog came up short last week, so i'm going for him this week. i would captain lampard if i had him though.

birmingham also have a double, home to sunderland and away to chelsea, i wouldn't be too bothered with that one tbh.

arsenal have a double, but nowhere near as captain friendly as chelseas. I like arsenal @home to liverpool. both sides seem attractive. RVP doing the business last week is an obvious choice. the tricky away fixture then comes against spurs. maybe fab's time to finally shine this season against such strong opposition?

gamble-ish pick - charlie adam @home to wigan, battling for premiership survival, just one point ahead of west ham.

Friday, April 8, 2011

Fantasy Football Preview Week 32

Fantasy Football Preview Week 32

First of all, sorry we didn’t do a blog last game week, Friday completely went awry for me.

State Of Play


1 fucking point more than the average, I was tempted to play my wildcard, and that selection I had in mind wouldn’t have done too much better. I’ve still moved up a place, but still 76 points off the top, I’ll keep going till the fat lady sings. Will be happy with a champions league place.

Vindication


Not much vindication to be fair, none of my hunches paid off. On a real slight point, my goalkeeping choice paid off (Howard only got one point)

D’oh


6 players got three points or less, which was a ball sack of a result. Johnson, the sub number 1, would have got me eight point, that mixed with what I would have got if I had made Van Persie, my captain Len Rovers would be currently sitting in 10th place.


Questions / Hunch / Drama / Dramatic Narrative before Sky Have Spotted it


All of these are covered in the following section…

Transfers/Selection


Just gonna use my double transfer this week, and next game week it’ll be clear if Chelsea or Utd are in champions league, whoever is out I will use as the spine of my team, it’ll have to be a team built on differentials (as they say in Fantasy Football Scout). So a result my two selections are based on short term, one game week needs. Gonna put my eggs in my basket and go with Sunderland players I reckon, at home against West Brom, after a 5 goal thumping. Luis is defo too.

So in short I made three transfers in Cech in cos Chelsea play 3 times in next two games, I expect a tiny increase in Cech’s price next game week, so might save me .1 or .2 million, and subbed Hart out (can’t see the game with Liverpool being a no score either). Also with Man City not playing next week Hart’s value might suffer an inverse price drop.

I doubt Howard will keep a clean sheet at Wolves either, what with the home team really trying to kick on and avoid relegation, however I’ll keep Baines as his dead ball skills, and associated assists, will surely come into play at that game.

Now with my Sunderland theory, I’ve brought in Bardsley, their best performing defender this season, and since I have him, it’s not in my interest to have Vela score if he does (not that he’s at great form since joining them on loan anyway). My third transfer in (thus incurring a 4 point cost, but if it pays off it’ll more than make up for it) is Danny Welbeck. The other factor is since both those Mackems are English there is a better chance they’ll pick up bonus points.


Theory/Selection


Have decided to build a team simply on first off selecting all my players who are at home, and that leaves me with just Nasri & Van Persie who will be away at Blackpool (that will be a goal fest…. surely). I reckon Villa should do okay against the visiting Newcastle (who are missing Nolan and Leon Best). And while Dempsey could prosper against Man Utd (off hand I think he has a good record against them), once again it would be counter productive for me to have Vidic and Dempsey, one’s success would be negated by the other’s loss of potential points. Maybe this is all trite cos by game week 32 you’ve surely worked out these tendencies anyway.

My Team this week



 

Keeping An Eye On


Everyone is in contention for my new look end of season run-in squad.

Captains Corner with Phergal


two strong fixtures this weekend, Chelsea @home to wigan and arsenal away to blackpool.

i much prefer the chelsea fixture. home game, bounce back from 1-0 defeat to united in champions league, plus the 6-0 annihilation they gave wigan away from home at the start of the season. three candidates spring to mind. drogba, although he has yet to return to the form of old so might be a slight gamble. a resurgent lampard seems a good bet, but who can afford him now if you don't already have him? not me. captain if you have him. and thirdly new golden boy luiz who could nab a clean sheet and an assist or goal quite easily for a nice 10 points. notice how i didn't torres? no one in their rigth mind should even have him in your team at the moment.

arsenal are away and tbh, i actually think it's hard to predict this one. they've been a bit crap lately, squadering chance after chance to pull level with united in the table. RVP is a good bet but are injuries starting to niggle him again? fab and nasri are nice shouts, but wouldn't get you anything spectacular i think. worth a punt.

for a third fixture, how about united @home to fulham? rooney's out so berba good be a good shout. nani too.