Friday, December 21, 2012

Gameweek 18 Season 2012/2013


It’s the last gameweek before Santa packs his sack, and also the first of a mega extravaganza of 4 gameweeks in 10 days…eeek – this is one of those periods when the amateurs who aren’t used to drinking every night lose ground cos they forget to catch the deadlines. This is a pretty exciting time of the year, but realistically the last blog we’ll get done this year.

… but 2013 is going to be mega, we will be unveiling news of a sponsor and we shall be moving into the world of podcasting…

And Darragh and I just want to wish you all a happy Christmas to you and yours and all those you care about, but of course we want your teams to do worse than ours.


GAMEWEEK 16 REVIEW OF NEW CORK COSMOS

Well I got 9 points better than the average, but my captaincy choice (I went bravely with RVP) got 45% of those points, so that leaves that only 2 other of my players got more than 3 points… so that makes it a simple bad week.

Got the keeper right? Only Jaaskelainen played so it’s a moot point. But he did well and got 7 points.

Got my subs decisions right? Kinda, two got 0 points, Nolan got just 2 points…but that puts him on par with most of his team mates at NCC.

Alternate Selection Point Swing – 1 point. (if Nolan had played instead of Crouch)

WHAT’S THE POINTS?

Points scored last week                       - 53 Points
Average points scored in that week      - 44 points
Points off the top                                 - 167 points, exactly the same as last week.
Position in BOTNB League                - 39th (up 8 places  J )

LAST WEEK’S TEAM




THE SECRET OF MY SUCCESS
…last week’s highest scorer once again was Aidan Molloy, but he did the same in GM 15,  so it’d be kinda redundant to get him to write it again, as he did tell us in last week’s blog he is “ the shepherd and the majority of managers are the sheep.”

In second place were jointly Darragh McHenry, who happens to be the Captain here in Captains Corner… and since he did a SOMS contribution this season, I will be passing the conch this week to Sam Boland, who got 80 points last week with an aptly name team (which I'll let you see for yourself).

I was as surprised as anyone when Ronan asked me to write 'Secret of my Success'. My initial response was 'not sucking so hard': between Gameweeks 2 and 13, I scored over 45 *once*. Abandoned, randomly generated teams were outscoring me with ease. In desperation, I played my wildcard in Gameweek 4, to no avail.

Recently, I've turned it around, and I think the answer was ruthlessness. For example, a player in one of my leagues - team name Blues Brothers - this gameweek benched £25.4m of talent just because he's a Chelsea fan. There's no room for that kind of sentiment, but sure, ye already know that.

Mostly, though, I was finally ruthlessness with myself. I admitted I didn't know better than everyone else, bit the bullet, and bought Michu (48.5% ownership), Van Persie (38.3%) and Shawcross (31.9%). Differentials be damned.
Speaking of ruthlessness, sometimes it's as hard to part with an out-of-form player who previously scored you load of points as it is to part with your favourite players, but lads, Bale and Fellaini should be gone from your squads already.

However, occasionally it pays to follow Fergie's example: some players need the hairdryer, others need kid gloves. So it is with Santi Cazorla; in nine gameweeks, he scored 3 points or less, but has only once gone more than weeks without
scoring at least 6. If you can handle the frustration, he'll repay you with hauls.

In short, your guess is as good as mine. But guess right, because the cup starts this week.

HIS SCREENSHOT



TRANSFERS

I started with 1.4 million to play with

ISTEACH!
AMACH!

Like anyone who knows their shizzle Fellani was transferred out on Sunday night (who has lost .2 million in value since then) and also as I said in previous week I also got rid of Ruddy [what a maverick eh? Getting rid of a player who is injured for forseeable future)

I had to move fast and to be honest I have doubts about the decisions I took already

In their place I brought in Schwarzer at Fulham and Yaya Toure at Man City, now the latter caused me to be essentially lectured by our honourable Captain at how bad a decision it was etc etc, I expect him to play all 4 games and perhaps pick up a goal/assist and a few clean sheets. Simples.

In the former, I’m hoping Fulham will tighten up a bit, especially as he’ll be my only option on ‘boxing day’ but I fear that match will also be postponed cos of that pesky tube strike going on.

I’ve 1.1 million left in the coffers and I’m anticpating a few trades between now and when we next talk.

THIS WEEK’S SELECTION

I’ve put Schwarzer on the bench as their trip to Anfield is more likely to result in conceeding a goal that West’s Ham visit by Everton.

The only real decision was between playing Berbatov (similarly at Liverpool) or Crouch (away at Spurs); I’ve gone with the side of drama and with Crouch returning to an old club etc etc. As ever it might chance but realistically in probably won’t.

Here’s the screenshot.




MY CAPTAIN, MY CAPTAIN

RVP, away at Swansea, is my current choice, but I do fear of rotation. I may change tonight but I doubt it.


CAPTAIN’S CORNER

We’ve decided to do a Christmas Captain’s Corner and have it uploaded in advance of gameweek 19.
 It should be up maybe the night of Christmas day...

Friday, December 14, 2012

Gameweek 17 Season 2012/2013



Welcome to the Back Of The Net Boy blog on Fantasy Football, join us on facebook if you want.

I was relatively full of Christmas Cheer last Gameweek, feeling like this was gonna be my turning point in Fantasy Football but it turned out that it felt more like this.

Anyway I need to (whtich is one of my favourite recordings and songs ever Ronan-Fact Fans), and get right back on that horse – mix some metaphors and get back in the game…

GAMEWEEK 15 REVIEW OF NEW CORK COSMOS

I picked three players who got scored more than 3 points, and one that managed the ignomity of a minus one;

Got the captain right? Nope, and what makes it worse is that this was what I wrote last week “Nope, that Swanish (Spain and Swansea put together) fella had a great 16 point haul.”, well at least he only got 12 in GM16 – Facepalm, with echo.

Got the keeper right? Only Jaaskelainen played so it’s a moot point. And he just got 1. Ruddy out.

Got my subs decisions right? No, my unused defender (Cameron) scored three points more than the 4 I selected put together; and Sterling scored more than 2 of my used midfielders put together

Alternate Selection Point Swing – 18 points. (inc if I had captained Michu instead), a difference of 18 places on the league table.

WHAT’S THE POINTS

Points scored last week           - 41 Points
Points off the top                     - 167 points, a further 36 points off the pace.
Position in BOTNB League    - 47th (down 15 places  L )

LAST WEEK’S TEAM



THE SECRET OF MY SUCCESS

…last week’s highest scorer was Aidan Molloy, of Stade de Schull with a humnogous 87 point haul, [which for the record was the exact same amount as Pat from GM 15]. Here are his thoughts on gameweek 16…

I'd like to think the secret to my success is my down to my overall knowledge of the game and the touch of class I bring to it. But as Arsenal in the past have learned, not always will beautiful football and that touch of class suffice in claiming the major honours.

I have this year entered "back of the net boy" and other leagues where I do not know the opposition but my real drive and probably the main secret to my success lies in the league with my fellow colleagues. As a lot of you know this rivalry cannot be matched and the pressure of winning drives me on to succeed. I think it's good to find a compatriot of similar skill and play some mind games, friendly banter etc. i.e to get inside his head to gain an advantage. If you struggle to find originality in this sector look out for some Jose Mourinho interviews. He plays this card exceptionality.

Basically people, you must treat FF as much more than a game. It must become your religion to succeed. Also, I'd advise you fellow FF managers to back your own ability and not to act like sheep when it comes to picking players. Don't fall back on websites like FF Scout or others when it comes to picking your best 11. Be original and look for differentials. As I mentioned above my overall knowledge of the game sets me apart from the rest. For example I purchased Miguel PĂ©rez Cuesta (aka Michu) one week before the first game week and needless to say he hasn't moved since.How many of you can say the same? After spending a lot of time watching Spanish football last year it was easy for me to decide that Michu would be a hit in the PL. My eye for a bargain cannot be matched. So to sum it up as many of you my know from reading this the secret to success is my ability basically, am I the greatest? No of course not I've made too many mistakes to ever be on that pedestal but I am the special one. I play the game to way it should be played, with class and distinction. To sum it up I am the shepherd and the majority of managers are the sheep.
Many thanks for your attention,
Any fan mail to be sent to aidanmolloyx@gmail.com 
Aidan.
.......
.... She said no Robin, she said no…

HIS SCREENSHOT



TRANSFERS

1.4 million to play with

Like Christmas shopping itself, there’s no point going too crazy – I need a few things for a few people, Jaaskelainen needs some back up and my defence needs something to make less porous… but judging by my recent decisions all not paying off, and looking at my team options this week, I’m gonna leave it as it is. I know I’m playing with the chance that Ruddy (injured till March) willd rop by .1 or even .2 in value, which is a mild worry tbh. But today there is no obvious solution at his price range with good fixtures.

And it’ll give me some sort of leeway to prep for christmas fixture rush, I think I’ll make 3 transfers next week at cost of just 4 points.

ISTEACH/AMACH

 Well Ruddy needs to go, so De Gea, Guzan, Reina are all in my reckoning
On the second possible replacment there, the reVILLAtion ( see what I did there) seems to be gaining traction, their next 3 (away at anfield and stamford bridge, then hosting spurs) might be a slight derailment, but Lawton ( a defender who is playing in midfield positions)/ Weimann / Bannan / Bentenke are all looking interesting.

Johnson at Liverpool seems to be the tip de jour;  also in defence Rafael looks tempting, but with more defenders coming back into fitness at OT will he get rotated more? (yes)

To make these changes I’m going to have shuffle the deck in midfield, there’s no obvious candidate to go but I’ll have to decided, perhaps Dempsey to free up some cash.

There’s been a bit of talk at the Hateau (admin offices of New Cork Cosmos) of Baines leaving to free up cash (accounts department) but someone else (fantasy historian) is arguing he constantly hits the toppermost of the poppermost of the defenders charts.

THIS WEEK’S SELECTION

It’s pretty simple, only have 1 GK option anyway; Bardsley is quite injured (orange turned to red over last 24 hours) and away at Man Utd so he’s got the number 15 shirt all to himself. I doubt Reading will manage a clean sheet against Arsenal so Storey is on the bench, even though his set pieces etc; but I reckon West Ham will grind an attritional draw, so much so I’ve benched Nolan (to 1st choice sub) too. And that’s my team

Here’s the screenshot.




MY CAPTAIN, MY CAPTAIN

RVP, at home to Sunderland – this won’t be a day for differentials. Even though now I say it, I’m worried about rotation, so will wait till last minute and possibly upgrade Dempsey


BACK OF THE BET BOY

West Brom v West Ham, ending in a draw     - 12/5
Everton to come from behind and win - 12/1
Spurs & Swansea both to score                      - 8/13

€2 accumalator will potentially win me           - €142





CAPTAIN’S CORNER WITH Darragh

A pretty mixed week last week. Highly disappointed by Everton’s Afro Dynamo and the ever decreasing Dimi Berbaflop but pleased with the choices of Michu and in particular Sessegnon. Moving forward, this game week looks like a return to the heavy hitter ranks where vast amounts of theoretical cash will be spooged over the likes of Suarez, Rooney, Van Persie and…….Robert Snodgrass?

Oddly enough, it’s with the Scotsman that I’ll begin wading through the numbers. Norwich have visibly improved, going on a remarkable undefeated run stretching back to GW 7. Furthermore, they employ a 4-3-3/4-5-1 system than enables two midfielders to essentially play as auxiliary forwards, ala Swansea with Routledge and Hernandez. Snodgrass has occupied the right flank for the season so far and his whopping 45,000 transfers to date in this GW show his perceived potential although his positioning still remains quite defensive as Houghton has looked to shore up his once leaky backline. In fact, several full backs such as Leighton Baines, Rafael and Glen Johnson have obtained a higher average field position. Where ‘Snoddy’ really excels though is his sheer involvement in any Norwich attacking move. He is involved in 67% of the Canaries goals over the past six weeks and has more passes in the final third, more passes received in the final third and more chances created than any of his midfield counterparts. Furthermore, Wigan have shipped 14 goals in their last 6 games with their captain Gary Caldwell’s absence leaving their defensive line as mushy and gooey as a out of date brussel sprout.

Outside of Snodgrass as the budget option, there is a veritable Christmas feast of heavy hitters to choose from. First on my list is the in-form green monster Wayne Rooney. With Shrek sure to plague our screens all over the festive period, he’s duly come back to form with a whopping 6.7 fantasy point return per game since GW12. This towers over van Persie’s total of 5.4 ppg and indicates Rooney’s role at the fulcrum of the United attack. His 54.4% involvement in United’s goals in the past month is by the highest on the team (van Persie is second with 28.3%) and has retained spot kick duties despite early season misses. 

Having highlighted Rooney’s current purple patch, his Dutch striking partner can also not be ignored. Chris Glover at PremierLeagueFantasy.blogspot has estimated through United’s average amount of shots, shots on target and the defensive weaknesses of their opponents (Sunderland) that a goal count of 3.7 for the home side can be estimated for this weekends clash. This makes United cover more essential than ever and can even come in the form of Rafael who continues to maraud from right back with serious assist potential.

Moving on to more sacrilegious captaincy choices, we look to Tottenham and like Jesus rising from the dead, Clint Dempsey has once again risen to fantasy prominence after last weeks display. AVB’s midweek comments proclaiming Dempsey’s position to be “striker” along with Adebayor’s penchant for being a twat should see the man from States side getting an extended run up front. Although Dempsey has a relatively small sample size, the last two GWs show his role as the primary link up to the forwards. In that time, he had double the amount of touches in the final third as Defoe (99-
43) and also had more slapshots on the goaltender (5-4) than the England International. 

Swansea’s porous defensive display against Norwich should bode well for Spurs as will Laudrup’s decision to field a full strength team in their Milk /CocaCola/ Worthington/ Carling/ Capital One Cup victory against Middlesbrough on Wednesday night. Buyers may need to be beware of Dempsey however IF Gareth Bale makes a return this weekend, inevitably vulturing set piece duties from the Clint.

Having crushed fantasy owners in recent weeks with the accuracy of a one armed archer, I’m again throwing my eggs into the Luis Suarez basket. Cue either scenes of delirium as the ickle’ Uruguayan bags a hat-trick or….and this is probably more likely, I melt my face with nearby battery acid as he wellies his 11th shot wide, calls Steven Ireland a “Knackerito” and gets a red card for diving after collapsing upon seeing his own reflection. This is how I spend my Saturdays. Social lives are for chumps anyway…..

      Game Week 17                Game Week 16              
1. W. Rooney                                         
M. Fellaini  (2 pts)                                                      
2. L. Suarez                               
S. Cazorla  (6 pts)                                                            
3. C. Dempsey                                 
Michu   (12 pts)                                                                         
4. R. Van Persie                               
S. Sessegnon (11 pts)
5. R. Snodgrass      
D. Berbatov (2 pts)                                                                

The Punt: Gervinho                        
G. Ramirez (3 pts)                                                         










                                     Total: 36 pts/ 6 pts per player                                            
                                                                             

Friday, December 7, 2012

Gameweek 16 Season 2012/2013


Hey hey, it’s almost Christmas and all of us at New Cork Cosmos HQ need a christmas miracle.

GAMEWEEK 15 REVIEW OF NEW CORK COSMOS

Dang, thought I’d done relatively well this week, but of course what with most of have the same bunch of players, rising tides lifted all boats.  57 points seems to have been the ballpark average score of everyone in the top half of our league.

Got the captain right? Nope, that Swanish (Spain and Swansea put together) fella had a great 16 point haul.

Got the keeper right? Only Jaaskelainen played so it’s a moot point.

Got my subs decisions right? Yes

Alternate Selection Point Swing – 14 points. (inc if I had captained Michu instead)

WHAT’S THE POINTS

Points scored last week           - 57 Points
Points off the top                     - 131 points
Position in BOTNB League    - 32nd (up 5 places)

LAST WEEK’S TEAM



THE SECRET OF MY SUCCESS
…last week’s highest scorer was Pat O’Donovan, of Dynamo Douglas [who for the record have the same name every year, which is a rarity in Fantasy League terms] with a humnogous 87 point haul. Here are his thoughts on gameweek 15…

The Secret of My Success stems from a decision I made about 6 weeks ago. That was to ignore all my hunches, gut feelings and friends who seem to know what they are talking about and instead pick a starting 11 from players who are as close to the top in their position as I could afford. Last week 9 of my 11 were in the top 5 in their position and I hit paydirt with 8 of them (Bale being the notable exception). Happy Days

His Team

 


TRANSFERS

Maloney out, as he is injured for GM16, and would be defo benching him for GM 19/20 & 21 too. Also gone is Hazard who has lost form, possibly won’t play this week anyway and then the trip to World Club Cup, Moses seems to have become an option for Benitez and we all know how much Rafa loves trying all his options – insert gag about options here, once I remember if it’s a hot chocolate or a hot chocolate substitute.

I’m really thinking outside the box and bringing in Fellani and Dempsey; taking a leaf from Pat’s notes and decided to go with some known quantities.

And in what might shriek of short-term- ism, Williams at Swansea has gone (2 clean sheets in last 9 games isn’t worth having, and since I played him on the bench so much, it really was treading water) and I’m bringing in Shorey at Reading, 2 games this week, so hopefully one clean shoeet from either will offset the cost of a third transfer (I had 2 from last week).

All told I’m not left with 1.4 million pounds to play with for next set of transfers.

THIS WEEK’S SELECTION

Starting with benching the doubtful Crouch and the completely ruled out Ruddy.
Also on the bench is Sterling, who has a tricky tie away at West Ham, but more specifically for me sicne I will have the Hammers’s keeper and key defender in my line up, I don’t want him doing well anyway [it must grate liverpool fans that a visit by Liverpool is deemed less difficult than a visit from Everton by Fantasy Football Scout’s fixture ticker]; and finally I will bench Cameron who is playing for Stoke at Aston Villa.

I am clearly hoping both my debutants score, ergo I need Baines to get several assists rather than the clean sheet.

Here’s the screenshot.




MY CAPTAIN, MY CAPTAIN

My decision for this last week was “Berbatov, all the way. RVP as vice.”, which is what I was thinking again… but since I’m staying on tonight, I will possibly revisit the decision a few times. I’m wondering about Nolan…  but enough of my captain's thoughts lets go to....


CAPTAIN’S CORNER

Argggggh! Suarez! His brain melting tendency to need 1,472 chances before hitting the net need came to the fore again last week. His threat numbers remain at a disturbingly high level so despite his suspension, I’ll be keeping the faith with the polarizing Uruguayan. This week I’ll be looking at some budget options for captaincy as all but 1 of my options are under the £8m mark.

My primary candidate for the armband this week is the in-form afro rockin’ fantasy nugget, Marouane Fellaini. Fellaini seems to have taken up the mantle for the Toffees goal scoring responsibilities as Nicola Jelavic continues to struggle for form. In fact, in Everton’s stalemate with Man City last week, the Belgian played a full pitch quadrant (That’s an average of 6/7 yards further up field for you first time readers) ahead of his team mate. It appears as if Moyes has now pushed Fellaini into the role of a striker more so than sitting in the hole. The numbers back this hypothesis up. In the last 4 game weeks, Fellaini has had 23 touches in the opposition penalty area, with only Kevin Nolan having more (27) of all midfielders. This despite Fellaini playing one game less due to his suspension against Norwich in GameWeek 14. His shot accuracy rating of 87.5% in this time frame is by far the greatest of any midfielder who has had more than 2 efforts on goal (Shelvey of Liverpool is next with 80%).

Speaking of midfielders playing ‘in the hole’, its seem to be a constant source of captaincy potential in FPL as 4 out of the 5 highlighted players this week occupy that position. Michu seems to typify that role in the hole more than most as his late runs and minimal possession touches have seen him emerge with Frank Lampard of old type numbers this year. His 10 goals thus far see him share top spot in the scorers chart although he does so as the ‘sole midfielder’ to hit double figures. Where Michu really baffles observers though is the stat department. In Michu’s last four games, his tally of 18 penalty area touches is not even good enough for a top ten rank amongst midfielders and his ICT threat rating of 46.6 fails to even be the highest on his team (Hernandez 48.6). His 67 touches in the oppositions half in the last month fails to rank in the top FIFTY of midfielders as Swansea continuously by-pass the Spaniard with preference to winger-centric football... Despite these worrying numbers, his 4 goal haul in as many games indicates that ‘knack’ or right-time-right-placeness (god I hate intangibles) and a home fixture against Norwich offers a viable captaincy option.
                                
Another fire in the hole midfielder is Stephane Sessegnon, who also gives us our first chance to frantically panic at a double game week opportunity since the opening week of the season. What potentially boosts the Beninian…Benanian….Beniagon…..the man from Benin’s chances is Steven Fletchers ankle injury. Should it keep him out of the double fixtures, Sessegnon will inevitable take up the role as striker once Luis Saha’s left foot falls off minutes into the first fixture. Sessegnon’s numbers have been far from compelling this term and a brief rise in form over GameWeeks 12 and 13 only highlight the consistent inconsistencies you face when taking on a Sunderland attacker.

To finish off, I’ve decided that this is the week Arsenal turn there fortunes around. Wenger is simply too good a coach to let this sort of petulant criticism continue and West Brom appear to have run out of steam after their juggernaut of a start to the season. My gut had hinted at leaning toward Walcott but the numbers, as well as the frails winger’s calf injury, now have pointed me firmly toward his midfield counterpart, Santi Cazorla. I can’t believe I’m saying this after the GameWeek 9 debacle, but Cazorla’s numbers are too strong, despite his side’s poor vain of form. In the previous two GameWeeks, no midfielder has had more attempts on goal, received more passes in the final third, had more successful dribbles in the final third or a higher success rate in final third passes than Cazorla. For no other reason than an imminent plethora of cheesy ‘Santi comes early for Arsenal’ tabloid headlines, I envisage a healthy points total for the Spaniard. Though I may have said that exact line before….ahem.

Game Week 16 Choices                           Game Week 15               
  1. M. Fellaini                                     L.Suarez  (1 pt)                      
  2. S. Cazorla                                      R. Van Persie (6 pts)                        
  3. Michu                                            O. Giroud (2 pts)                               
  4. S. Sessegnon                                 A. Taarabt (2pts)                                              
  5. D. Berbatov                                   D. Silva (2pts)                                   
The Punt: G. Ramirez                               A. LeFondre (7 pts)                                  
Total Score:                                              20 pts/ 3.3 pts per player