Friday, December 21, 2012

Gameweek 18 Season 2012/2013


It’s the last gameweek before Santa packs his sack, and also the first of a mega extravaganza of 4 gameweeks in 10 days…eeek – this is one of those periods when the amateurs who aren’t used to drinking every night lose ground cos they forget to catch the deadlines. This is a pretty exciting time of the year, but realistically the last blog we’ll get done this year.

… but 2013 is going to be mega, we will be unveiling news of a sponsor and we shall be moving into the world of podcasting…

And Darragh and I just want to wish you all a happy Christmas to you and yours and all those you care about, but of course we want your teams to do worse than ours.


GAMEWEEK 16 REVIEW OF NEW CORK COSMOS

Well I got 9 points better than the average, but my captaincy choice (I went bravely with RVP) got 45% of those points, so that leaves that only 2 other of my players got more than 3 points… so that makes it a simple bad week.

Got the keeper right? Only Jaaskelainen played so it’s a moot point. But he did well and got 7 points.

Got my subs decisions right? Kinda, two got 0 points, Nolan got just 2 points…but that puts him on par with most of his team mates at NCC.

Alternate Selection Point Swing – 1 point. (if Nolan had played instead of Crouch)

WHAT’S THE POINTS?

Points scored last week                       - 53 Points
Average points scored in that week      - 44 points
Points off the top                                 - 167 points, exactly the same as last week.
Position in BOTNB League                - 39th (up 8 places  J )

LAST WEEK’S TEAM




THE SECRET OF MY SUCCESS
…last week’s highest scorer once again was Aidan Molloy, but he did the same in GM 15,  so it’d be kinda redundant to get him to write it again, as he did tell us in last week’s blog he is “ the shepherd and the majority of managers are the sheep.”

In second place were jointly Darragh McHenry, who happens to be the Captain here in Captains Corner… and since he did a SOMS contribution this season, I will be passing the conch this week to Sam Boland, who got 80 points last week with an aptly name team (which I'll let you see for yourself).

I was as surprised as anyone when Ronan asked me to write 'Secret of my Success'. My initial response was 'not sucking so hard': between Gameweeks 2 and 13, I scored over 45 *once*. Abandoned, randomly generated teams were outscoring me with ease. In desperation, I played my wildcard in Gameweek 4, to no avail.

Recently, I've turned it around, and I think the answer was ruthlessness. For example, a player in one of my leagues - team name Blues Brothers - this gameweek benched £25.4m of talent just because he's a Chelsea fan. There's no room for that kind of sentiment, but sure, ye already know that.

Mostly, though, I was finally ruthlessness with myself. I admitted I didn't know better than everyone else, bit the bullet, and bought Michu (48.5% ownership), Van Persie (38.3%) and Shawcross (31.9%). Differentials be damned.
Speaking of ruthlessness, sometimes it's as hard to part with an out-of-form player who previously scored you load of points as it is to part with your favourite players, but lads, Bale and Fellaini should be gone from your squads already.

However, occasionally it pays to follow Fergie's example: some players need the hairdryer, others need kid gloves. So it is with Santi Cazorla; in nine gameweeks, he scored 3 points or less, but has only once gone more than weeks without
scoring at least 6. If you can handle the frustration, he'll repay you with hauls.

In short, your guess is as good as mine. But guess right, because the cup starts this week.

HIS SCREENSHOT



TRANSFERS

I started with 1.4 million to play with

ISTEACH!
AMACH!

Like anyone who knows their shizzle Fellani was transferred out on Sunday night (who has lost .2 million in value since then) and also as I said in previous week I also got rid of Ruddy [what a maverick eh? Getting rid of a player who is injured for forseeable future)

I had to move fast and to be honest I have doubts about the decisions I took already

In their place I brought in Schwarzer at Fulham and Yaya Toure at Man City, now the latter caused me to be essentially lectured by our honourable Captain at how bad a decision it was etc etc, I expect him to play all 4 games and perhaps pick up a goal/assist and a few clean sheets. Simples.

In the former, I’m hoping Fulham will tighten up a bit, especially as he’ll be my only option on ‘boxing day’ but I fear that match will also be postponed cos of that pesky tube strike going on.

I’ve 1.1 million left in the coffers and I’m anticpating a few trades between now and when we next talk.

THIS WEEK’S SELECTION

I’ve put Schwarzer on the bench as their trip to Anfield is more likely to result in conceeding a goal that West’s Ham visit by Everton.

The only real decision was between playing Berbatov (similarly at Liverpool) or Crouch (away at Spurs); I’ve gone with the side of drama and with Crouch returning to an old club etc etc. As ever it might chance but realistically in probably won’t.

Here’s the screenshot.




MY CAPTAIN, MY CAPTAIN

RVP, away at Swansea, is my current choice, but I do fear of rotation. I may change tonight but I doubt it.


CAPTAIN’S CORNER

We’ve decided to do a Christmas Captain’s Corner and have it uploaded in advance of gameweek 19.
 It should be up maybe the night of Christmas day...

Friday, December 14, 2012

Gameweek 17 Season 2012/2013



Welcome to the Back Of The Net Boy blog on Fantasy Football, join us on facebook if you want.

I was relatively full of Christmas Cheer last Gameweek, feeling like this was gonna be my turning point in Fantasy Football but it turned out that it felt more like this.

Anyway I need to (whtich is one of my favourite recordings and songs ever Ronan-Fact Fans), and get right back on that horse – mix some metaphors and get back in the game…

GAMEWEEK 15 REVIEW OF NEW CORK COSMOS

I picked three players who got scored more than 3 points, and one that managed the ignomity of a minus one;

Got the captain right? Nope, and what makes it worse is that this was what I wrote last week “Nope, that Swanish (Spain and Swansea put together) fella had a great 16 point haul.”, well at least he only got 12 in GM16 – Facepalm, with echo.

Got the keeper right? Only Jaaskelainen played so it’s a moot point. And he just got 1. Ruddy out.

Got my subs decisions right? No, my unused defender (Cameron) scored three points more than the 4 I selected put together; and Sterling scored more than 2 of my used midfielders put together

Alternate Selection Point Swing – 18 points. (inc if I had captained Michu instead), a difference of 18 places on the league table.

WHAT’S THE POINTS

Points scored last week           - 41 Points
Points off the top                     - 167 points, a further 36 points off the pace.
Position in BOTNB League    - 47th (down 15 places  L )

LAST WEEK’S TEAM



THE SECRET OF MY SUCCESS

…last week’s highest scorer was Aidan Molloy, of Stade de Schull with a humnogous 87 point haul, [which for the record was the exact same amount as Pat from GM 15]. Here are his thoughts on gameweek 16…

I'd like to think the secret to my success is my down to my overall knowledge of the game and the touch of class I bring to it. But as Arsenal in the past have learned, not always will beautiful football and that touch of class suffice in claiming the major honours.

I have this year entered "back of the net boy" and other leagues where I do not know the opposition but my real drive and probably the main secret to my success lies in the league with my fellow colleagues. As a lot of you know this rivalry cannot be matched and the pressure of winning drives me on to succeed. I think it's good to find a compatriot of similar skill and play some mind games, friendly banter etc. i.e to get inside his head to gain an advantage. If you struggle to find originality in this sector look out for some Jose Mourinho interviews. He plays this card exceptionality.

Basically people, you must treat FF as much more than a game. It must become your religion to succeed. Also, I'd advise you fellow FF managers to back your own ability and not to act like sheep when it comes to picking players. Don't fall back on websites like FF Scout or others when it comes to picking your best 11. Be original and look for differentials. As I mentioned above my overall knowledge of the game sets me apart from the rest. For example I purchased Miguel PĂ©rez Cuesta (aka Michu) one week before the first game week and needless to say he hasn't moved since.How many of you can say the same? After spending a lot of time watching Spanish football last year it was easy for me to decide that Michu would be a hit in the PL. My eye for a bargain cannot be matched. So to sum it up as many of you my know from reading this the secret to success is my ability basically, am I the greatest? No of course not I've made too many mistakes to ever be on that pedestal but I am the special one. I play the game to way it should be played, with class and distinction. To sum it up I am the shepherd and the majority of managers are the sheep.
Many thanks for your attention,
Any fan mail to be sent to aidanmolloyx@gmail.com 
Aidan.
.......
.... She said no Robin, she said no…

HIS SCREENSHOT



TRANSFERS

1.4 million to play with

Like Christmas shopping itself, there’s no point going too crazy – I need a few things for a few people, Jaaskelainen needs some back up and my defence needs something to make less porous… but judging by my recent decisions all not paying off, and looking at my team options this week, I’m gonna leave it as it is. I know I’m playing with the chance that Ruddy (injured till March) willd rop by .1 or even .2 in value, which is a mild worry tbh. But today there is no obvious solution at his price range with good fixtures.

And it’ll give me some sort of leeway to prep for christmas fixture rush, I think I’ll make 3 transfers next week at cost of just 4 points.

ISTEACH/AMACH

 Well Ruddy needs to go, so De Gea, Guzan, Reina are all in my reckoning
On the second possible replacment there, the reVILLAtion ( see what I did there) seems to be gaining traction, their next 3 (away at anfield and stamford bridge, then hosting spurs) might be a slight derailment, but Lawton ( a defender who is playing in midfield positions)/ Weimann / Bannan / Bentenke are all looking interesting.

Johnson at Liverpool seems to be the tip de jour;  also in defence Rafael looks tempting, but with more defenders coming back into fitness at OT will he get rotated more? (yes)

To make these changes I’m going to have shuffle the deck in midfield, there’s no obvious candidate to go but I’ll have to decided, perhaps Dempsey to free up some cash.

There’s been a bit of talk at the Hateau (admin offices of New Cork Cosmos) of Baines leaving to free up cash (accounts department) but someone else (fantasy historian) is arguing he constantly hits the toppermost of the poppermost of the defenders charts.

THIS WEEK’S SELECTION

It’s pretty simple, only have 1 GK option anyway; Bardsley is quite injured (orange turned to red over last 24 hours) and away at Man Utd so he’s got the number 15 shirt all to himself. I doubt Reading will manage a clean sheet against Arsenal so Storey is on the bench, even though his set pieces etc; but I reckon West Ham will grind an attritional draw, so much so I’ve benched Nolan (to 1st choice sub) too. And that’s my team

Here’s the screenshot.




MY CAPTAIN, MY CAPTAIN

RVP, at home to Sunderland – this won’t be a day for differentials. Even though now I say it, I’m worried about rotation, so will wait till last minute and possibly upgrade Dempsey


BACK OF THE BET BOY

West Brom v West Ham, ending in a draw     - 12/5
Everton to come from behind and win - 12/1
Spurs & Swansea both to score                      - 8/13

€2 accumalator will potentially win me           - €142





CAPTAIN’S CORNER WITH Darragh

A pretty mixed week last week. Highly disappointed by Everton’s Afro Dynamo and the ever decreasing Dimi Berbaflop but pleased with the choices of Michu and in particular Sessegnon. Moving forward, this game week looks like a return to the heavy hitter ranks where vast amounts of theoretical cash will be spooged over the likes of Suarez, Rooney, Van Persie and…….Robert Snodgrass?

Oddly enough, it’s with the Scotsman that I’ll begin wading through the numbers. Norwich have visibly improved, going on a remarkable undefeated run stretching back to GW 7. Furthermore, they employ a 4-3-3/4-5-1 system than enables two midfielders to essentially play as auxiliary forwards, ala Swansea with Routledge and Hernandez. Snodgrass has occupied the right flank for the season so far and his whopping 45,000 transfers to date in this GW show his perceived potential although his positioning still remains quite defensive as Houghton has looked to shore up his once leaky backline. In fact, several full backs such as Leighton Baines, Rafael and Glen Johnson have obtained a higher average field position. Where ‘Snoddy’ really excels though is his sheer involvement in any Norwich attacking move. He is involved in 67% of the Canaries goals over the past six weeks and has more passes in the final third, more passes received in the final third and more chances created than any of his midfield counterparts. Furthermore, Wigan have shipped 14 goals in their last 6 games with their captain Gary Caldwell’s absence leaving their defensive line as mushy and gooey as a out of date brussel sprout.

Outside of Snodgrass as the budget option, there is a veritable Christmas feast of heavy hitters to choose from. First on my list is the in-form green monster Wayne Rooney. With Shrek sure to plague our screens all over the festive period, he’s duly come back to form with a whopping 6.7 fantasy point return per game since GW12. This towers over van Persie’s total of 5.4 ppg and indicates Rooney’s role at the fulcrum of the United attack. His 54.4% involvement in United’s goals in the past month is by the highest on the team (van Persie is second with 28.3%) and has retained spot kick duties despite early season misses. 

Having highlighted Rooney’s current purple patch, his Dutch striking partner can also not be ignored. Chris Glover at PremierLeagueFantasy.blogspot has estimated through United’s average amount of shots, shots on target and the defensive weaknesses of their opponents (Sunderland) that a goal count of 3.7 for the home side can be estimated for this weekends clash. This makes United cover more essential than ever and can even come in the form of Rafael who continues to maraud from right back with serious assist potential.

Moving on to more sacrilegious captaincy choices, we look to Tottenham and like Jesus rising from the dead, Clint Dempsey has once again risen to fantasy prominence after last weeks display. AVB’s midweek comments proclaiming Dempsey’s position to be “striker” along with Adebayor’s penchant for being a twat should see the man from States side getting an extended run up front. Although Dempsey has a relatively small sample size, the last two GWs show his role as the primary link up to the forwards. In that time, he had double the amount of touches in the final third as Defoe (99-
43) and also had more slapshots on the goaltender (5-4) than the England International. 

Swansea’s porous defensive display against Norwich should bode well for Spurs as will Laudrup’s decision to field a full strength team in their Milk /CocaCola/ Worthington/ Carling/ Capital One Cup victory against Middlesbrough on Wednesday night. Buyers may need to be beware of Dempsey however IF Gareth Bale makes a return this weekend, inevitably vulturing set piece duties from the Clint.

Having crushed fantasy owners in recent weeks with the accuracy of a one armed archer, I’m again throwing my eggs into the Luis Suarez basket. Cue either scenes of delirium as the ickle’ Uruguayan bags a hat-trick or….and this is probably more likely, I melt my face with nearby battery acid as he wellies his 11th shot wide, calls Steven Ireland a “Knackerito” and gets a red card for diving after collapsing upon seeing his own reflection. This is how I spend my Saturdays. Social lives are for chumps anyway…..

      Game Week 17                Game Week 16              
1. W. Rooney                                         
M. Fellaini  (2 pts)                                                      
2. L. Suarez                               
S. Cazorla  (6 pts)                                                            
3. C. Dempsey                                 
Michu   (12 pts)                                                                         
4. R. Van Persie                               
S. Sessegnon (11 pts)
5. R. Snodgrass      
D. Berbatov (2 pts)                                                                

The Punt: Gervinho                        
G. Ramirez (3 pts)                                                         










                                     Total: 36 pts/ 6 pts per player                                            
                                                                             

Friday, December 7, 2012

Gameweek 16 Season 2012/2013


Hey hey, it’s almost Christmas and all of us at New Cork Cosmos HQ need a christmas miracle.

GAMEWEEK 15 REVIEW OF NEW CORK COSMOS

Dang, thought I’d done relatively well this week, but of course what with most of have the same bunch of players, rising tides lifted all boats.  57 points seems to have been the ballpark average score of everyone in the top half of our league.

Got the captain right? Nope, that Swanish (Spain and Swansea put together) fella had a great 16 point haul.

Got the keeper right? Only Jaaskelainen played so it’s a moot point.

Got my subs decisions right? Yes

Alternate Selection Point Swing – 14 points. (inc if I had captained Michu instead)

WHAT’S THE POINTS

Points scored last week           - 57 Points
Points off the top                     - 131 points
Position in BOTNB League    - 32nd (up 5 places)

LAST WEEK’S TEAM



THE SECRET OF MY SUCCESS
…last week’s highest scorer was Pat O’Donovan, of Dynamo Douglas [who for the record have the same name every year, which is a rarity in Fantasy League terms] with a humnogous 87 point haul. Here are his thoughts on gameweek 15…

The Secret of My Success stems from a decision I made about 6 weeks ago. That was to ignore all my hunches, gut feelings and friends who seem to know what they are talking about and instead pick a starting 11 from players who are as close to the top in their position as I could afford. Last week 9 of my 11 were in the top 5 in their position and I hit paydirt with 8 of them (Bale being the notable exception). Happy Days

His Team

 


TRANSFERS

Maloney out, as he is injured for GM16, and would be defo benching him for GM 19/20 & 21 too. Also gone is Hazard who has lost form, possibly won’t play this week anyway and then the trip to World Club Cup, Moses seems to have become an option for Benitez and we all know how much Rafa loves trying all his options – insert gag about options here, once I remember if it’s a hot chocolate or a hot chocolate substitute.

I’m really thinking outside the box and bringing in Fellani and Dempsey; taking a leaf from Pat’s notes and decided to go with some known quantities.

And in what might shriek of short-term- ism, Williams at Swansea has gone (2 clean sheets in last 9 games isn’t worth having, and since I played him on the bench so much, it really was treading water) and I’m bringing in Shorey at Reading, 2 games this week, so hopefully one clean shoeet from either will offset the cost of a third transfer (I had 2 from last week).

All told I’m not left with 1.4 million pounds to play with for next set of transfers.

THIS WEEK’S SELECTION

Starting with benching the doubtful Crouch and the completely ruled out Ruddy.
Also on the bench is Sterling, who has a tricky tie away at West Ham, but more specifically for me sicne I will have the Hammers’s keeper and key defender in my line up, I don’t want him doing well anyway [it must grate liverpool fans that a visit by Liverpool is deemed less difficult than a visit from Everton by Fantasy Football Scout’s fixture ticker]; and finally I will bench Cameron who is playing for Stoke at Aston Villa.

I am clearly hoping both my debutants score, ergo I need Baines to get several assists rather than the clean sheet.

Here’s the screenshot.




MY CAPTAIN, MY CAPTAIN

My decision for this last week was “Berbatov, all the way. RVP as vice.”, which is what I was thinking again… but since I’m staying on tonight, I will possibly revisit the decision a few times. I’m wondering about Nolan…  but enough of my captain's thoughts lets go to....


CAPTAIN’S CORNER

Argggggh! Suarez! His brain melting tendency to need 1,472 chances before hitting the net need came to the fore again last week. His threat numbers remain at a disturbingly high level so despite his suspension, I’ll be keeping the faith with the polarizing Uruguayan. This week I’ll be looking at some budget options for captaincy as all but 1 of my options are under the £8m mark.

My primary candidate for the armband this week is the in-form afro rockin’ fantasy nugget, Marouane Fellaini. Fellaini seems to have taken up the mantle for the Toffees goal scoring responsibilities as Nicola Jelavic continues to struggle for form. In fact, in Everton’s stalemate with Man City last week, the Belgian played a full pitch quadrant (That’s an average of 6/7 yards further up field for you first time readers) ahead of his team mate. It appears as if Moyes has now pushed Fellaini into the role of a striker more so than sitting in the hole. The numbers back this hypothesis up. In the last 4 game weeks, Fellaini has had 23 touches in the opposition penalty area, with only Kevin Nolan having more (27) of all midfielders. This despite Fellaini playing one game less due to his suspension against Norwich in GameWeek 14. His shot accuracy rating of 87.5% in this time frame is by far the greatest of any midfielder who has had more than 2 efforts on goal (Shelvey of Liverpool is next with 80%).

Speaking of midfielders playing ‘in the hole’, its seem to be a constant source of captaincy potential in FPL as 4 out of the 5 highlighted players this week occupy that position. Michu seems to typify that role in the hole more than most as his late runs and minimal possession touches have seen him emerge with Frank Lampard of old type numbers this year. His 10 goals thus far see him share top spot in the scorers chart although he does so as the ‘sole midfielder’ to hit double figures. Where Michu really baffles observers though is the stat department. In Michu’s last four games, his tally of 18 penalty area touches is not even good enough for a top ten rank amongst midfielders and his ICT threat rating of 46.6 fails to even be the highest on his team (Hernandez 48.6). His 67 touches in the oppositions half in the last month fails to rank in the top FIFTY of midfielders as Swansea continuously by-pass the Spaniard with preference to winger-centric football... Despite these worrying numbers, his 4 goal haul in as many games indicates that ‘knack’ or right-time-right-placeness (god I hate intangibles) and a home fixture against Norwich offers a viable captaincy option.
                                
Another fire in the hole midfielder is Stephane Sessegnon, who also gives us our first chance to frantically panic at a double game week opportunity since the opening week of the season. What potentially boosts the Beninian…Benanian….Beniagon…..the man from Benin’s chances is Steven Fletchers ankle injury. Should it keep him out of the double fixtures, Sessegnon will inevitable take up the role as striker once Luis Saha’s left foot falls off minutes into the first fixture. Sessegnon’s numbers have been far from compelling this term and a brief rise in form over GameWeeks 12 and 13 only highlight the consistent inconsistencies you face when taking on a Sunderland attacker.

To finish off, I’ve decided that this is the week Arsenal turn there fortunes around. Wenger is simply too good a coach to let this sort of petulant criticism continue and West Brom appear to have run out of steam after their juggernaut of a start to the season. My gut had hinted at leaning toward Walcott but the numbers, as well as the frails winger’s calf injury, now have pointed me firmly toward his midfield counterpart, Santi Cazorla. I can’t believe I’m saying this after the GameWeek 9 debacle, but Cazorla’s numbers are too strong, despite his side’s poor vain of form. In the previous two GameWeeks, no midfielder has had more attempts on goal, received more passes in the final third, had more successful dribbles in the final third or a higher success rate in final third passes than Cazorla. For no other reason than an imminent plethora of cheesy ‘Santi comes early for Arsenal’ tabloid headlines, I envisage a healthy points total for the Spaniard. Though I may have said that exact line before….ahem.

Game Week 16 Choices                           Game Week 15               
  1. M. Fellaini                                     L.Suarez  (1 pt)                      
  2. S. Cazorla                                      R. Van Persie (6 pts)                        
  3. Michu                                            O. Giroud (2 pts)                               
  4. S. Sessegnon                                 A. Taarabt (2pts)                                              
  5. D. Berbatov                                   D. Silva (2pts)                                   
The Punt: G. Ramirez                               A. LeFondre (7 pts)                                  
Total Score:                                              20 pts/ 3.3 pts per player                     



Friday, November 30, 2012

Gameweek 15 Season 2012/2013


Sorry lads, well behind the curve of the day so my element of the blog will be parsimonious

GAMEWEEK 13 & 14 REVIEW OF NEW CORK COSMOS

Oh my sweet divine insert-the-name-of-any-of-the-interchangable-deities-here, this is becoming awful third gameweek in a row that I’ve done worse than the average (and that includes all the ghost teams!)

Got the captain right? Nope, I was flinging texts back and forth with Darragh (Captains Corner), Pat (the Cruyff Turn) and TJ (nice guy with no blog) about RVP vs Crouch. Guess which way I swung.

Got the keeper right? Moot point, as only one of them played.

Got my subs decisions right? Meh, nothing of note

Alternate Selection Point Swing – 10 points. (inc if I had captained RVP)


LAST WEEK’S TEAM



THE SECRET OF MY SUCCESS
… the last two best scoring captains have said the same thing, that they hadn’t even logged in or changed their team in weeks. So the secret seems to be just don’t give a f*ck – treat them mean and keep them keen eh guys?


TRANSFERS

None this week as all my recents transfers have been failures. Gotta know when to fold them and know when to hold them etc etc

THIS GAMEWEEK COMING UP, WHERE’S THE DRAMA.

Berbatov and Jol at home to Spurs, reckon they’ll show them who is boss, or in this case ex-boss. You can guess who I’m captaining.

Fergie’s best friend (when it suits) Sam is at home to Rafa (who he has NOOO beef with http://uk.eurosport.yahoo.com/01032010/58/premier-league-managers-rafa-angers-sam.html) - with Chelsea shoring up at the back but flailing at the front, I anticpate tight playing with little ambition – also Benayon might wanan show his Chelsea doubters and former boss Rafa what’s what. On that note I read this earlier that He remains the only player to score Premiership, Champions League and FA Cup hat tricks


BET OF THE NET BOY

No time to research this properly, sorry.


THIS WEEK’S SELECTION

I have one fully injured person and two doubtfuls’s I will bench all three. And then drop Bardsley to the bench. simples

Here’s the screenshot.



GOING FORWARD / WHO YOU LOOKING AT RONAN?

AMACH!

Honestly, I’m starting again and nobody has a free pass anymore

ISTEACH!

Noone specific, wondering what will happen at QPR, will a new face emerge from within the squad and will 'Arry think of recalling joey barton?


MY CAPTAIN, MY CAPTAIN

Berbatov, all the way. RVP as vice.­­


CAPTAIN’S CORNER

Well that was a strange one. Van Persie failed to deliver on his ‘banker’ game against bottom of the league QPR but bagged nine points against Big Sam’s resolute Hammers. Turning to this week, it looks to be the usual suspects again but with the exception of a few drop-offs from my captaincy radar (Chelsea anyone?).

First and foremost in my thinking for this GameWeek is Luis Suarez. His two blanks in his previous two outings may have disappointed his fantasy owners, but his threat remains constant, ranking 3rd overall in the ICT threat index. Anyone who has read this section of the blog before knows how fantabulously, groin grabbingly amazing Suarez’s threat stats are, but by comparing Suarez’s consistent potential in front of goal against the ability of his opposition’s defense, Chris Glover of PLFantasy (check it out!) has compiled a nifty points indicator table. Using this table, Glover identifies Suarez as the comfortable leader for the upcoming weekend fixtures. On top of that is the Uruguayans complete lack of rotation risk and Southampton’s shanty town of a defense (leaving in 3.1 goals per away fixture) confirms his place atop of my choices.

Speaking of threat, late blooming handsome-devil Oliver Giroud makes his first appearance in my captains considerations. In the last 4 weeks, Giroud, along with Theo Walcott, has emerged as the primary route for Arsenal cover, replacing the erratic duo of Santi Cazorla and Lucas Podolski. Giroud has rocketed to third in the threat index for forwards and established himself as virtually undroppable as the Pineapple headed Ivorian remains in the treatment room. Furthermore, Laudrup’s Swans have kept zero clean sheets since the opening day of the season, leaving potential there for either of the inform Arsenal pair.

Leaky defenses seem to be in vogue at the moment and none more so than Everton. Their constant conceding eventually lead to my axing of fantasy darling Leighton Baines and his apparent groin injury could be the crack in the dam that leads to a Manchester City flood of scores. With Tevez’s place unsure and Balotelli finding the net midweek, I’m avoiding all the City forwards for fear of rotation and looking to the increasing assured David Silva. Since his return against Tottenham four weeks ago, Silva has produced 29 fantasy points and an ICT creativity rating that registers as the second highest in the league. It wont matter who Mancini plays upfront as the ickle’ Spaniard looks to have huge assist potential.

I cant finish off my blog without mentioning the return of the ‘Fackin’ football manager ‘Arry Redknapp. As much as Redknapp’s car window-outside training gorund-transfer deadline day interviews make me want to top-top myself week in week out, he has been the bearer of positive fantasy returns in the past. I’m hoping his installment will mean the emergence of one of the QPR budget bargains in midfield, most notably Adel Taarabt. Since his arrival in FPL in August 2011, he was hyped as the Charlie Adam and Charles N’Zogbia of yesteryear but let all his believers, myself included, down. Since his reappearance in the first team back in Gameweek 6 however, the Moody Moroccan (© Darragh McHenry 2012) has proved capable of a series fantasy breakout. In the last 6 fixtures, only Pablo Hernandez of Swansea has created a higher number of chances in the league. In the same space of time, his 24 shots on goal joins Gareth Bale atop the league, 6 higher than their nearest competitor with Taarabt nudging it by having a chance every 22.3 minutes compares to Bale’s 23.9. The threat is undoubtedly there for the R’s midfielder and Villa at home proves an ample theatre to deliver on this. Fool me once Adel, shame on you, fool my twice…..


Game Week 15 Choices       Game Week 13/14          Game Week 12
L.Suarez              R. Van Persie (9/2pts)          L. Suarez (11 pts)
R. Van Persie           R. Lambert (8/2pts)        D. Berbatov (2 pts)            
O. Giroud                   Michu  (8/3 pts)             N. Jelavic (2pts)                     
A. Taarabt               W. Rooney (2/6 pts)         C. Tevez (19pts)                           
D. Silva                    F. Torres (2/2 pts)            M. Fellaini (4pts)                      

The Punt: A. LeFondre       C. Benteke  (9/2pts)          A. Taarabt (5pts)                           
Total Score:                                                            43 points/7.1 pts Average   


Friday, November 23, 2012

Gameweek 13 Season 2012/2013




Hello everybody, I woke up early today, yet I’m only getting round to this now.  I’ve had a lazy week, but it’ll be slamming busy for next while what with 2 gameweeks in next 7 days, which I’ll need to pick up on, as you will see.


GAMEWEEK 12 REVIEW OF NEW YORK COSMOS

40 points this week, with an average of 52; which is my lowest percentage return. Six players getting 2 points or less, including -3 fron Hangeland.

Got the captain right? Oh boy did I not, my vice captain got 9 points more Berbatov.

Got the keeper right? Yes, with a 2 point swing in my favour.

Got my subs decisions right? I guess, 2 of them got 2 points, Collins got nada.

Alternate Selection Point Swing – 14 points.


LAST WEEK’S TEAM




THE SECRET OF MY SUCCESS
… the highest scorer of each gameweek in our league is invited to share a few insights into what got them so many points… and this week it was Peter O’Sullivan, who got a mammoth 101 points, which has shot up up to 14th in the Back Of The Net Boy League. I didn’t give him enough notice to submit his words to the blog this week to be fair, but here is a screenshot of his team last week.


LAST WEEK’S HIGHEST SCORING TEAM IN BACK OF THE NET BOY LEAGUE




TRANSFERS

Well this is pretty routine, Hangeland is gonna get got; he is missing for next three games and that’s a tad long too be holding up a spot like that, he’s already dropped .1 in value, as I did say last week it was gonna be a Sunderland defender coming in; I’ve decided to take on Bardsley, he was first choice all last season and is only now coming back from injury - he played his first full 90 minutes last week. Hopefully he’ll give me some differential as he is only owned by .1% of my rival managers; and at 4.8 he is quite a bargain.

Really was thinking of swapping Hazard for Mata, mainly because of the simple Spanish connection, the trio being completed by Benetiz and Torres. But for the 4 point loss, I’ll just leave it off. As perhaps there’ll be som equick changes needed for the impenidng gameweek next Tuesday/Wednesday.


THIS GAMEWEEK COMING UP, WHERE’S THE DRAMA.

I think the Drama is all about the new managers, what is going to happen, will Benitez change the Chelsea attacking style? – I, for one, can’t imagine him being hired without that having come up in the negotiations. His immediate task of Man City will be very interesting to see, wonder will all the time he has blogging and whatnot have given him the chance to out-think Manchini, I wouldn’t doubt he would. And if Torres scores, you can be sure, I’ll be bringing him in ASAP.

Also who will take over at QPR? Hughes just got let go a few hours ago, so no time to make any proper predictions.

Europa League Shirkers – I think it’s safe to say that Chelsea and Man City’s owners do not give a singular shit about the Europa League, except perhaps winning the final and the co-efficiant points for future seeding. Now it’s in Man City’s hands to finish 4th and have a clear run at the Premiership (and that will have an impact on fantasy footbal strategy I’m sure) where as Chelsea are 6 points ahead of Nordsjaelland for the wooden spot. So not only would the pensioners have to lose their game, but they’d have to also get 4 points deducted somehow. But how could they possibly manage their team’s behavior to be so demonstraveily vile to be justify losing points. I can’t imagine a single thing they could do to look bad enough to deserve points deductions… think ronan, think ronan…

Spurs v West Ham – that stadium thing is still rumbling on? Can we call this an Olympic Challenge? Please? Well I’m going to anyway… this game could be a marathon encounter with ehmmm sprinting and diving… ehm… you see what I’m trying to do here.  Sam v AVB will certainly be a clash of character.

Return Of The Rodgers – This time it’s personal (ie league points to be won), I’m going to be playing both my midfielders involved as it defo won’t be a chanceless draw… I have visions of Rodgers showing his team the tape of this game next week saying, “THIS IS WHAT I MEAN!”.


BET OF THE NET BOY

This week I will do an treble of

Everton to win both halves against Norwich – 13/5
Man Utd to score more than 3.5 goals against QPR – evens
Sunderland to score in both halves against WBA – 13/5
Which all adds up to about 26/1
… worth the price of a pint? Yes, 3 quid down.


THIS WEEK’S SELECTION

This week is pretty straightforward, the only decision is to play Berbatov or Sterling. I’ve went with the latter. And the ‘which of my two defenders will I not play? question’ is answered by leaving Mister-Autobiography-Williams on the bench and Collins at White Hart Lane. Keepwise, it’ll be Howard at home to Norwich.

Here’s the screenshot.




GOING FORWARD / WHO YOU LOOKING AT RONAN?

AMACH!

Noone specific, but Howard, Williams and Crouch  might all start feeling a little uncomfortable.

ISTEACH!

Mignolet, Torres/Mata, Bentenke. No major curveballs.


MY CAPTAIN, MY CAPTAIN

I feel bad for anyone writing a column especially about who to captain this week since a fully rested RVP is playing at home to bottom of the table, rudderless QPR. That is my answer… Vice is Crouch at home to Fulham, who are missing their leader in defence.... and now over to Darragh


CAPTAIN’S CORNER 

   Well another week, another lesson learned. I highly doubted any RVP returns at Carrow Road and I consistently alluded to Suarez’ mind-boggling statistics but failed to pull the trigger on transferring him in. Instead, 10 man Fulham failed to take advantage of a sub-par Sunderland side and Berbaflop failed to build on his previously scintillating form.

This week could prove to be an easy read for 36% of fantasy owners out there though, as Van Persie appears to have a cricket-score potential fixture against an abject QPR side this weekend. Without a permanent manager as of yet, I fail to see any reason why the R’s will start playing for any purpose at Old Trafford. If you’ve opted for United cover (and you really should have United cover with their upcoming fixtures) through the Rooney and Valencia routes, both offer large upside for this fixture, but Shrek has a slight edge with his hot streak of assists looking to continue as he feeds RVP. He also miraculously appears to have retained spot kick duty. Sigh…..

Aside from van Persie, I found a few interesting candidates to provide differentials, particular for those who don’t have and cannot afford the Dutchman. Southampton, after a moral boosting away win last weekend, finally looks able to start Puncheon above their weight with fantasy returns. A highly intriguing prospect is Ricky Lambert. His goal in their last outing was of obvious importance though his threat index rating of 23.6 was the third highest of the GameWeek (behind Tevez & Suarez with 26.2 and 24.0 respectively). Furthermore, Lambert is playing a Newcastle side making the long trip south that’ve kept just one clean sheet all year and zero away from home. Here’s another rib tickling statistic for Lamberts captaincy merits. Newcastle have conceded a goal in each of the last four GameWeeks to the striker in a 4-2-3-1 formation.

The last front man to do so against Newcastle was Michu. This consistent fantasy nugget has seen Laudrup continuously push him further up the field to the point where he now plays higher up than any other Swan. Liverpool have indeed tightened up at the back in recent weeks but this is still a side that have leaked an average of 1.9 goals per away fixture this term.   

Rounding off my top five this week is Eden….I mean Juan M…..wait, Fernando Torres? 99.9% of the time I rely on stats but this one time, I’m using my gut. Benitez and his man crush on Torres may be just the kind of confidence boost needed for El Nino. I have absolutely zero statistics to back this up, and I’ve already scribbled the opening paragraph of next weeks blog berating myself for choosing him. As for my punt this week, I’m going to go for Christian Benteke of Aston Villa (0.4% Ownership). The Villians have been urine poor in front of goal this term and Lambert appears to have lost faith in perennial goal hanger Darren Bent. Furthermore, the last 4 GameWeeks have shown the Belgians potential. His ICT threat rating is above RVP’s and just behind fantasy slobberknockers such as Suarez, Tevez and Rickie Lambert. In categories such as penalty area touches, blocked shots and headed chances, he ranks 3rd, 4th and 4th in the league respectively. Oh, and he is also involved in 75% of Aston Villa’s goals.



 Game Week 13 Choices               Game Week 12                                       Game Week 11
  1. R. Van Persie                  Luis Suarez (11 pts)                         Sergio Aguero (9 pts)
  2. Rickie Lambert             Dimitar Berbatov (2 pts)             Marouane Fellaini (13pts)
  3. Michu                              Nicola Jelavic (2pts)                      Leighton Baines (4pts)
  4. Wayne Rooney               Carlos Tevez (19pts)                            Eden Hazard (2pts)
  5. Fernando Torres            Marouane Fellaini (4pts)                       Peter Crouch (5pts)
The Punt: Christian Benteke        Adel Taarabt (5pts)                           Charlie Adam (9pts)
Total Score:                         43 points/7.1 points per player    42 points/7 points per player