Friday, December 7, 2012

Gameweek 16 Season 2012/2013


Hey hey, it’s almost Christmas and all of us at New Cork Cosmos HQ need a christmas miracle.

GAMEWEEK 15 REVIEW OF NEW CORK COSMOS

Dang, thought I’d done relatively well this week, but of course what with most of have the same bunch of players, rising tides lifted all boats.  57 points seems to have been the ballpark average score of everyone in the top half of our league.

Got the captain right? Nope, that Swanish (Spain and Swansea put together) fella had a great 16 point haul.

Got the keeper right? Only Jaaskelainen played so it’s a moot point.

Got my subs decisions right? Yes

Alternate Selection Point Swing – 14 points. (inc if I had captained Michu instead)

WHAT’S THE POINTS

Points scored last week           - 57 Points
Points off the top                     - 131 points
Position in BOTNB League    - 32nd (up 5 places)

LAST WEEK’S TEAM



THE SECRET OF MY SUCCESS
…last week’s highest scorer was Pat O’Donovan, of Dynamo Douglas [who for the record have the same name every year, which is a rarity in Fantasy League terms] with a humnogous 87 point haul. Here are his thoughts on gameweek 15…

The Secret of My Success stems from a decision I made about 6 weeks ago. That was to ignore all my hunches, gut feelings and friends who seem to know what they are talking about and instead pick a starting 11 from players who are as close to the top in their position as I could afford. Last week 9 of my 11 were in the top 5 in their position and I hit paydirt with 8 of them (Bale being the notable exception). Happy Days

His Team

 


TRANSFERS

Maloney out, as he is injured for GM16, and would be defo benching him for GM 19/20 & 21 too. Also gone is Hazard who has lost form, possibly won’t play this week anyway and then the trip to World Club Cup, Moses seems to have become an option for Benitez and we all know how much Rafa loves trying all his options – insert gag about options here, once I remember if it’s a hot chocolate or a hot chocolate substitute.

I’m really thinking outside the box and bringing in Fellani and Dempsey; taking a leaf from Pat’s notes and decided to go with some known quantities.

And in what might shriek of short-term- ism, Williams at Swansea has gone (2 clean sheets in last 9 games isn’t worth having, and since I played him on the bench so much, it really was treading water) and I’m bringing in Shorey at Reading, 2 games this week, so hopefully one clean shoeet from either will offset the cost of a third transfer (I had 2 from last week).

All told I’m not left with 1.4 million pounds to play with for next set of transfers.

THIS WEEK’S SELECTION

Starting with benching the doubtful Crouch and the completely ruled out Ruddy.
Also on the bench is Sterling, who has a tricky tie away at West Ham, but more specifically for me sicne I will have the Hammers’s keeper and key defender in my line up, I don’t want him doing well anyway [it must grate liverpool fans that a visit by Liverpool is deemed less difficult than a visit from Everton by Fantasy Football Scout’s fixture ticker]; and finally I will bench Cameron who is playing for Stoke at Aston Villa.

I am clearly hoping both my debutants score, ergo I need Baines to get several assists rather than the clean sheet.

Here’s the screenshot.




MY CAPTAIN, MY CAPTAIN

My decision for this last week was “Berbatov, all the way. RVP as vice.”, which is what I was thinking again… but since I’m staying on tonight, I will possibly revisit the decision a few times. I’m wondering about Nolan…  but enough of my captain's thoughts lets go to....


CAPTAIN’S CORNER

Argggggh! Suarez! His brain melting tendency to need 1,472 chances before hitting the net need came to the fore again last week. His threat numbers remain at a disturbingly high level so despite his suspension, I’ll be keeping the faith with the polarizing Uruguayan. This week I’ll be looking at some budget options for captaincy as all but 1 of my options are under the £8m mark.

My primary candidate for the armband this week is the in-form afro rockin’ fantasy nugget, Marouane Fellaini. Fellaini seems to have taken up the mantle for the Toffees goal scoring responsibilities as Nicola Jelavic continues to struggle for form. In fact, in Everton’s stalemate with Man City last week, the Belgian played a full pitch quadrant (That’s an average of 6/7 yards further up field for you first time readers) ahead of his team mate. It appears as if Moyes has now pushed Fellaini into the role of a striker more so than sitting in the hole. The numbers back this hypothesis up. In the last 4 game weeks, Fellaini has had 23 touches in the opposition penalty area, with only Kevin Nolan having more (27) of all midfielders. This despite Fellaini playing one game less due to his suspension against Norwich in GameWeek 14. His shot accuracy rating of 87.5% in this time frame is by far the greatest of any midfielder who has had more than 2 efforts on goal (Shelvey of Liverpool is next with 80%).

Speaking of midfielders playing ‘in the hole’, its seem to be a constant source of captaincy potential in FPL as 4 out of the 5 highlighted players this week occupy that position. Michu seems to typify that role in the hole more than most as his late runs and minimal possession touches have seen him emerge with Frank Lampard of old type numbers this year. His 10 goals thus far see him share top spot in the scorers chart although he does so as the ‘sole midfielder’ to hit double figures. Where Michu really baffles observers though is the stat department. In Michu’s last four games, his tally of 18 penalty area touches is not even good enough for a top ten rank amongst midfielders and his ICT threat rating of 46.6 fails to even be the highest on his team (Hernandez 48.6). His 67 touches in the oppositions half in the last month fails to rank in the top FIFTY of midfielders as Swansea continuously by-pass the Spaniard with preference to winger-centric football... Despite these worrying numbers, his 4 goal haul in as many games indicates that ‘knack’ or right-time-right-placeness (god I hate intangibles) and a home fixture against Norwich offers a viable captaincy option.
                                
Another fire in the hole midfielder is Stephane Sessegnon, who also gives us our first chance to frantically panic at a double game week opportunity since the opening week of the season. What potentially boosts the Beninian…Benanian….Beniagon…..the man from Benin’s chances is Steven Fletchers ankle injury. Should it keep him out of the double fixtures, Sessegnon will inevitable take up the role as striker once Luis Saha’s left foot falls off minutes into the first fixture. Sessegnon’s numbers have been far from compelling this term and a brief rise in form over GameWeeks 12 and 13 only highlight the consistent inconsistencies you face when taking on a Sunderland attacker.

To finish off, I’ve decided that this is the week Arsenal turn there fortunes around. Wenger is simply too good a coach to let this sort of petulant criticism continue and West Brom appear to have run out of steam after their juggernaut of a start to the season. My gut had hinted at leaning toward Walcott but the numbers, as well as the frails winger’s calf injury, now have pointed me firmly toward his midfield counterpart, Santi Cazorla. I can’t believe I’m saying this after the GameWeek 9 debacle, but Cazorla’s numbers are too strong, despite his side’s poor vain of form. In the previous two GameWeeks, no midfielder has had more attempts on goal, received more passes in the final third, had more successful dribbles in the final third or a higher success rate in final third passes than Cazorla. For no other reason than an imminent plethora of cheesy ‘Santi comes early for Arsenal’ tabloid headlines, I envisage a healthy points total for the Spaniard. Though I may have said that exact line before….ahem.

Game Week 16 Choices                           Game Week 15               
  1. M. Fellaini                                     L.Suarez  (1 pt)                      
  2. S. Cazorla                                      R. Van Persie (6 pts)                        
  3. Michu                                            O. Giroud (2 pts)                               
  4. S. Sessegnon                                 A. Taarabt (2pts)                                              
  5. D. Berbatov                                   D. Silva (2pts)                                   
The Punt: G. Ramirez                               A. LeFondre (7 pts)                                  
Total Score:                                              20 pts/ 3.3 pts per player                     



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