Thursday, August 22, 2013

Back Of The Net Boy Season 13/14 - Captain's Corner - Pre GM 1

written by www.twitter.com/darraghFPL 
  
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With the season still in its infancy, statistical analysis inevitably holds less precedence due to small sample sizes and the lack of clear-cut form. With this in mind, the first few weeks of Captain’s choices will unfortunately hold an element of ‘gut’ instincts. These same gut instincts last year led me to twice select an underperforming Chelsea forward, who for slanderous reasons will remain anonymous. Lets just call him “F. Torres”…….or “Fernando T.” Whichever tickles your fancy like. Moving forward, I’ve got a couple of new entries into my top as well as a long time lover who I’ve started developing a disturbing penchant for.

First off the bat, I’m not the kind of guy who’ll recommend captaining RvP. There’s already 14 million reasons to captain that guy. I’m hoping to highlight those who at least offer some differential from the 45% of players who already own the Dutchman. With this in mind, I’m opting straight away from one of the most polarizing teams in Fantasy Football. All preseason the debate raged regarding the role the fullbacks would play in Martinez’s 3-4-3 formation. Also, who would spearhead the attack, especially seeing as Kone was brought in from his former club? However, Nicola Jelavic’s strong pre-season showing coupled with a high tempo showing against Norwich has surely cemented the Croats starting place in Martinez’s starting XI. His ICT threat index rating of 112* was the highest of any player from the opening weekend, just edging out Edin Dzeko and Christian Benteke (more about those later). 

If Jelavic is to succeed, he’ll need adequate service. If only he had a dynamic left back with a high success percentage of crosses. Ahem. If Baines’ natural ability wasn’t enough, West Brom conceded the largest amount of left sided chances last weekend, tied oddly enough with Manchester United on 17 (they must miss Gary Neville). For those who read my last article regarding the knee jerk transfer of Baines to Coleman, just remember that Leighton has been the top scoring defender in Fantasy Football for three, that’s THREE, years straight. Just a lil’ food for thought for those contemplating a Toffees full-back.

Speaking of food, I’m gonna’ spank one way out to leftfield and go for an overweight Scotsman. Despite his Ralf C. Nesbitt physique, Charlie Adam offers huge upside this week. Even though he failed to get the nod against Liverpool last week, that was largely due to Mark Hughes decision to play a 5-4-1 against a possession happy ‘Pool side. This week, The Potters play a Crystal Palace side that will probably have more quality sound-bytes than points come May. 

Already entrenched on set-piece duty, the deep fried Mars bar lovin’ (my last one, I swear) will have plenty of opportunities as Palace have conceded the 3rd highest amount of big chances from set pieces last weekend. Adam offers a succulent alternative for those of us who were starved of fantasy points on the opening weekend and I predict the game will undoubtedly offer a bucket of attacking potential for a hungry Potters side.

Finally, I’ll give a slight nod to two newly invigorated forwards who could almost be labeled “hipster” picks in the fantasy world. Roberto Soldado and Edin Dzeko had very different opening weekends, but oddly enough, the latter grossly out performed the former despite the disparity in points returns. Dzeko has been covered in my previous article, which can be found at the Back of the Net Boy Facebook page. 

Soldado on the other hand looked “sluggish” according to top top football pundit Jamie Redknapp. Soldado still managed to create the second most scoring chances last weekend (4), just one behind, eh, I’ll have to check these stats again but Iago Aspas who had five. FIVE! Soldado also faces a Swansea side who will have been undoubtedly exerted from their Thursday night Europa League tie against Petrolul. Like I said at the start, I’m going by gut at this early stage so feel free to shoot me down. Torres, he’s still good right?

Captains Choices:

1)   Nicola Jelavic
2)   Edin Dzeko
3)   Leighton Baines
4)   Roberto Soldado
5)   Charlie Adam

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