Tuesday, January 29, 2013

Gameweek 24 Season 2012/2013


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Hello everybody, it’s been a great week here at the Ro Camp, in every sense other than with my actual fantasy team. Our debut podcast had a lot more listens that we hoped for, and since most of the listeners were our readers, I’d like to take the chance now to say thanks very much, if you can help share it and make comments etc, that’d be great.

Also Darragh of Captain’s Corner has joined twitter @darraghFPL so please follow him and myself @backofthenetboy – we’ll do our best to be the best ever.


REVIEW OF NEW CORK COSMOS IN GAMEWEEK 23

Due to watching the 1000th episode of WWE’s Monday Night Raw last night, I went down a little bit down memory lane when the APA appeared and in keeping with Farooq, all I can say about my returns last week is………. DAMN!

Gameweek 23 was my biggest point haul since way back to Gameweek 1, (I have only got over 60 points five times all season), this has been an embaressement of a season. But even with my huge 81 point haul, all those around (and more importantly above) me did better.

WHAT’S THE POINTS?

Points scored last week                       - 81 Points
Average points scored in that week      - 54 points
Points off the top                                 - 301 points, a further 4 points since christmas.
Position in BOTNB League                - 61st (up 8 places, whoop di do )

Annoyingly, I took our captain’s advice (you can hear our debut podcast at www.podomatic.com/backofthenetboy) and brought in Davies at Swansea, but sure didn’t I only go and put him on my bench. So that 1 defender left on my bench managed to score as much as the other 4 defenders in my squad, that in one move sums up my decision making and luck, which are the two main things you need in FPL.
  
LAST WEEK’S TEAM



THE SECRET OF MY SUCCESS

… the highest scorer of each gameweek in our league is invited to share a few insights into what got them so many points… Gameweek 23’s had two joint highest scorers, both with 99 points (statistic fans out there will remember to be the highest score in GM22 in the BOTNB league too!).  We had varying responses from the two high scorers when asked to contribute to this section, [I wanna flag that if you look at both their XIs, they only had 3 players in common, but both accrued massive scores which does defeat the ‘everyone has the same team now’ argument.]

We had this from Philip Bunney…



Philip’s team




…and this more considered response from Mark McCarthy

The secret to my success this gameweek was keeping faith in my players. Looking back the only transfer I made could have been left until another week as Lampard scored more points than the incoming Michu. Still, I'm happy with my points total and proud to have scored the highest in most of my leagues. Sadly I was more prepared for this double gameweek than the previous one.

I am involved in a few leagues but this year the one that has really amped things up it the newly formed head-to-head one at work. A Facebook group was set up, a total of 6 players committed to the season. Two Irishmen, two Englighmen, a Scotsman and a Dane signed up to a Fantasy Football league...and proceeded to take the almighty piss out of each other!! There have been some epic Saturdays, Super Sundays and the odd midweek miracle. Santi Cazorla scoring a hatrick almost reduced some men to jibbering wrecks as others took pictures of themselves celebrating and posted them online. This was the spawn of 'Team Cazorla'.

Any serious Fantasy Football manager knew of the Arsenal and West Ham double gameweek before the turn of the year. Walcott and Cazorla were added to my squad as soon as they had outscored Newcastle in an entertaining game at The Emirates. It still being December I was happy enough to buy only these two players and to keep an eye on others coming up to the this gameweek.

Then came January and with it the wildcard. Some people still insist I was wrong to not use my wildcard right away. I usually like to wait until the end of January to use my wildcard in case of any 'real life' transfers changing things around. The rearranged Chelsea and Southampton game threw a spanner in the works but having planned this gameweek earier I persisted with my squad, besides I already had Walcott and Cazorla.

In the lead up to the gameweek guys from the league kept insisting I needed to fill my team with Arsenal and West Ham players. I told them I wasn't too keen on some of
the West Ham players and didn't want to tinker with my team too much. My options were limited to West Ham defenders, no chance! Joe Cole and Mark Noble were also looked at but I played it safe and only used my one free transfer.

Fast forward to four grown men in a living room on a school night split into their head-to-head pairings. Each pairing consisting of a member of 'Team Cazorla' playing a member of 'Team Walcott'. I cannot say much more, mostly because of the extreme embarrassment it may cause, but I was glad I made Walcott my captain!

Mark’s team.



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TRANSFERS

It’s getting to a point that I forget sometimes if I heard @DarraghFPL, our captain, says something in conversation or on the podcast, but he did point out that if you end up making a transfer the week after you use your gameweek you’ve done something wrong. With that in mind I won’t be making any changes buuuuuuuut I was going to hold off anyway (for a different reason), I want to have three transfers to play with a minimal points cost for GM25 when the transfer deadline has closed.

THIS WEEK’S SELECTION

This week’s one is pretty simple, Begovic at home to Wigan is more sense than Jaaskelainen away to a relatively resurgent Sunderland, I don’t want to have two West Ham defenders either, so I’ve dropped Tompkins (it was perhaps too short sighted to bring him in for that double Gameweek), I’ve packed my midfield with Lambert as the appointed first sub on. Cameron has a yellow mark so perhaps won’t play, so perhaps Rickyyyyyyyyyyy will step in for him. I brought in Davies this time because “fool me once, shame on — shame on you. Fool me — you can't get fooled again”.

Here’s the screenshot.



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MY CAPTAIN, MY CAPTAIN

I think Fellaini at home to WBA or Walcott to Liverpool, with the dark horse of Walters at home to Wigan, be assured it will be a midfielder with an element of white in their jersey. Those kinds of ‘enigmatic’ captaincy hunches [which clearly fail] are why we have a pro to make these decisions, it’s time for….

CAPTAIN’S CORNER with @darraghFPL

Bah, who said double gameweeks were fruitless endeavors (well I did, but I digress). Theo, Santi and Lucas all produced double digit returns and the latter even missed the Sunday game due to illness. Elsewhere, David Silva revealed he can actually score as well as assist goals and Liverpool showed that variety is the spice of life with four different goal scorers and assisters. My neck-sticking-out selection of Walcott along with four out of my five selections scoring 5 points or more ensured I had a productive week. Moving on to this week’s fixtures, I’ve a toss up between the plainly obvious (RVP, Mata, Fellaini, Aguero etc) and the sort of obscure left field/wing selections that make Trappatoni look like a youthful sprog.

I’ve sided with the latter of these two options and since I’m wildcarding in the midst of Jim White’s orgasmic exclaims of ‘Transfer deadline day!’ and unknown Sky Sports presenters freezing their proverbial knockers off outside the Britannia, I can afford a one week punt on the unknown. To start off, I’m going for the two strikers who lie at opposite sides of the form spectrum.

I’m opting for Demba Ba as my first choice for gameweek 24.  He may have displaced perennial fantasy pariah Nando Torres but El Nino managed to spank in a late equalizer against Brentford in the FA Cup last weekend, shadowing the potential of rotation on the Senegalese international. I think that the Reading game however, has become (get the cliché police on alert for this) ‘must-win’ for Benitez and Ba paves the clearest route to victory for the Blues. Aside from the stat-tacular Suarez, Ba offers a plethora of bountiful numbers to rest Chelsea hopes upon. He ranks 2nd in goal attempts, 3rd in minutes per chance (Dzeko lies 2nd) and 3rd in goals scored. He faces a Reading side that have conceded the 2nd most goals in the league, one behind Villa, and allowed the most chances in the centre and right of the field, areas that Juan Mata is likely to occupy. Here comes the icing underneath the cherry however. The Royals have also allowed the most shots in the penalty area (248: nearest competitor Sunderland is on 237) and given up the most ‘big chances’* (65: Nearest competitor is Newcastle on 58) thus far in the campaign. Woof.

From a stat starring striker from Senegal to a cringingly crumbling fantasy cast-a-side from Croatia; Nicola Jelavic. Unlike Ba, he has miserly returns to date, offering just one goal and assist in twelve. These sort of bedazzling returns have of course lead to him being my second selection in my captain’s choices this week. Recently, I wrote how if any Everton attacking cover was needed, than the afro styled Belgian path was clearly the way to go. While I maintain this stance, two things have changed; positioning and attempts. Previously Fallaini had dominated these categories but in the Toffee’s last two outings, Jelavic has had 6 attempts to Fellaini’s 4, held an average pitch position up to two pitch quadrants higher and all while playing 28 minutes less. I’m not saying Jelavic is a better long term prospect, but merely offers a differential from the widespread love of the ‘Power 5’ discussed in this weeks podcast.

I just have to have one ol’ reliable in my selections this week however, with the accolade going to trigger happy, dive happy and ear surgery happy Welshman Gareth Bale. His away performances so far this term have clearly outshone his form at White Hart Lane, with seven out his nice goals coming on the road. Furthermore, his has more attempts on goal, more crosses and more final third pitch touches than any other FPL midfielder on opposition soil this season. Coupled with this is Norwich’s recapitulation at the back (11 goals in 4 games) and the obvious emphasis placed by AVB on the Premier League over other cup competitions. Dempsey remains in my one week pot luck mindset although the managers claims that Defoe ‘may start’ have made me veer clear of the Clint.

Moving on to other dubious contenders for this week’s choices, I’ve unearthed a recent piece of fantasy love for the ever malnourished looking Adam Johnson. Years of productive cameo appearances for City against sub par opposition had led me to the opinion that once he bailed from his bench warming activities, he’d walk straight into my fantasy 11 (See also: Kolorov, Aleksander). It seemed initially as if my premonitions of fantasy fruitfulness had been misguided following a move to the North East but of late, the skinny one has seemed to come good. Coming in with four scoring returns in his last five, including two double digiters (made that word up, but I like it), he seems to have found his grove. His allocation to set pieces along with his high success of his dribble completions (44.2%) have coincided nicely with Sunderland’s rediscovery of the opposition’s goal line. Similarly, Duncan Fergus…..I mean Steven Fletcher, offers superb value at just £7.1 million but against a stingy Swansea centre back partnership, I fancy the Black Cats midfield to strike it lucky against the Swans.

Falling into my 5th choice, however dangerously over my weekly ‘punt’ option, is Javier Hernandez. No numbers shall be sprouted for Chicarito’s inclusion. Instead, my gut rumbles that Ferguson fancies resting either RVP or Rooney for the Saints visit to Old Trafford seeing as the face Fulham at the cottage next weekend. This is a high risk, inevitably low reward choice so my words will be salted and vinergered, ready for consumption come next weeks blog. Nom nom….


*‘Big chances’ are an Opta stat where a defense allows a clear cut chance at goal. 

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